Premiership
Round 10 Sunday, 25 October 2026
FT
MotherwellHomeLLLDW
0:2Half-time 0:1
Heart Of MidlothianAwayLLWDL292546
Motherwell winDrawHeart Of Midlothian win
Premiership
Round 10 Sunday, 25 October 2026
FT
MotherwellHomeLLLDWHeart Of MidlothianAwayLLWDL- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.13 1.36 : 1.77
- Favourite
- 47% Heart Of Midlothian
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 63% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Best odds for Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.18 | 3.58 | 2.10 | 1.62 | 2.21 | 1.52 | 2.37 | Bet |
 22Bet | 3.74 | 3.94 | 1.88 | 1.57 | 2.38 | 1.56 | 2.41 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 3.75 | 3.80 | 1.83 | 1.56 | 2.32 | 1.53 | 2.34 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 3.74 | 3.94 | 1.88 | 1.57 | 2.38 | 1.56 | 2.41 | Bet |
 Melbet | 3.74 | 3.94 | 1.88 | 1.57 | 2.38 | 1.56 | 2.41 | Bet |
 Stake | 3.70 | 3.90 | 1.88 | 1.55 | 2.35 | 1.53 | 2.33 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Heart Of Midlothian to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian are 3.75 for Motherwell at BC.Game, 3.94 for the draw at Melbet and 2.10 for Heart Of Midlothian at 1xBet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 100.3%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.62 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.38 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.56 (Melbet) and no 2.41 (Melbet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
76%
Our prediction
Motherwell or Heart Of Midlothian (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
60% chance1.62
BTTSBoth teams to score
63% chance1.56
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
82% chance1.22fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.52fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Heart Of Midlothian, full-time Heart Of Midlothian
29% chance3.44fair
First halfFirst-half goal
76% chance1.32fair
Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction
Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction, who wins and at what price
Heart Of Midlothian are marginally ahead in the Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction, rated 47% to win this Premiership match on Sunday, 25 October 2026. Motherwell sit at 29% and the draw at 25%.
Expected goals are 1.36 for Motherwell and 1.77 for Heart Of Midlothian, a total of 3.13, which puts over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 63%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian is motherwell or Heart Of Midlothian (no draw), a 76% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.26. That price implies 79%, 4 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Over the last 5 matches Motherwell stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Heart Of Midlothian show 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats in 5.
Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 82%, over 2.5 at 60%, over 3.5 at 38%; under 2.5 is 40% and under 3.5 is 62%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 60%, best priced 1.62 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 63%, built from Motherwell scoring in 74% of runs and Heart Of Midlothian in 83%; clean sheets come at 17% for Motherwell and 26% for Heart Of Midlothian.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 63%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10.5%, then 1-2 at 9.3% and 0-1 at 7.7%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.5% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Heart Of Midlothian, full-time Heart Of Midlothian leads at 29%. A goal before the break is rated 76%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian
The grid built from 1.36 and 1.77 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Motherwell to win29%3.75
Draw25%3.94
Heart Of Midlothian to win47%2.10
Motherwell, draw no bet38%fair 2.62
Heart Of Midlothian, draw no bet62%fair 1.62
Double chance
Motherwell or draw53%1.92
Heart Of Midlothian or draw71%1.32
Motherwell or Heart Of Midlothian (no draw)76%1.26
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals82%fair 1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.62
Over 3.5 goals38%fair 2.62
Over 4.5 goals21%fair 4.83
Under 1.5 goals18%fair 5.52
Under 2.5 goals40%2.38
Under 3.5 goals62%fair 1.62
BTTS
Both teams to score63%1.56
Not both teams to score38%2.41
Halves
First-half goal76%fair 1.32
Over 1.5 first-half goals41%fair 2.43
Second-half goal82%fair 1.22
Team goals
Motherwell to score74%fair 1.35
Heart Of Midlothian to score83%fair 1.20
Motherwell clean sheet17%fair 5.88
Heart Of Midlothian clean sheet26%fair 3.89
Motherwell to win to nil16%fair 6.37
Heart Of Midlothian to win to nil24%fair 4.24
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.5%
1-29.3%
0-17.7%
2-17.2%
0-26.8%
2-26.3%
Half-time / full-time
Heart Of Midlothian / Heart Of Midlothian29.1%
Motherwell / Motherwell17.2%
Draw / Heart Of Midlothian15%
Draw / Draw12.7%
Draw / Motherwell10.2%
Questions about Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian
Who is favourite in Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian?
The model gives Heart Of Midlothian the best chance at 47%, with the draw at 25%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 60%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian?
The BTTS yes line is rated 63%. Motherwell find the net in 74% of simulated matches and Heart Of Midlothian in 83%.
When is Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian and where is the result shown?
Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian starts at 14:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.