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Premiership Round 12 Saturday, 31 October 2026 FT
KilmarnockHomeLWLLD
2:2Half-time 2:1
ST JohnstoneAwayWDLDD
402634
Kilmarnock winDrawST Johnstone win
Kick-off
Sat 31 Oct
Expected goals
2.97
1.55 : 1.42
Favourite
40%
Kilmarnock
Over 2.5 goals
57%
model chance
Both teams to score
60%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Best odds for Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.313.522.831.652.151.522.37Bet
22Bet2.083.743.281.752.081.612.30Bet
BC.Game2.043.603.251.632.161.552.30Bet
Betwinner2.083.743.281.752.081.612.30Bet
Melbet2.083.743.281.752.081.612.30Bet
Stake2.083.653.251.642.171.572.25Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Kilmarnock to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone prediction: Kilmarnock 2.31 (1xBet), draw 3.74 (Melbet), ST Johnstone 3.28 (Melbet).

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 99.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.75 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.17 (Stake); both teams to score yes pays 1.61 (Melbet) and no 2.37 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

74%

Our prediction

Kilmarnock or ST Johnstone (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.55 : 1.42-5.5% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
57% chance1.75
BTTSBoth teams to score
60% chance1.61
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.26fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance8.85fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Kilmarnock, full-time Kilmarnock
24% chance4.10fair
First halfFirst-half goal
74% chance1.36fair

Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone prediction

Our Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone prediction and pick

Nothing separates the sides in the Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone prediction for Saturday, 31 October 2026: 40% home, 26% draw and 34% away in the Premiership. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.

The goal expectancy is 2.97 in total, split 1.55 to Kilmarnock and 1.42 to ST Johnstone. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 57% and both teams to score 60%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Kilmarnock or ST Johnstone (no draw) is the main selection, rated 74%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.27. That price implies 79%, 4 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone.

Kilmarnock average 1.4 goals scored and 2.6 conceded across their last 5, ST Johnstone 1.2 and 1.8 across 5.

How many goals in Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

On the goal lines Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone reads 80% for over 1.5, 57% for over 2.5 and 35% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 43%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 57%, best priced 1.75 at Melbet.

Both teams to score is 60%: Kilmarnock find the net in 79% of simulated matches and ST Johnstone in 76%. Kilmarnock keep a clean sheet 24% of the time and ST Johnstone 21%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.3%, then 2-1 at 8.8% and 1-2 at 8%.

With the top scoreline at 11.3%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Kilmarnock, full-time Kilmarnock is the top combination at 24%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.

Every market rated for Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone

The grid built from 1.55 and 1.42 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Kilmarnock to win40%2.31
Draw26%3.74
ST Johnstone to win34%3.28
Kilmarnock, draw no bet54%fair 1.86
ST Johnstone, draw no bet46%fair 2.17

Double chance

Kilmarnock or draw66%1.39
ST Johnstone or draw60%1.75
Kilmarnock or ST Johnstone (no draw)74%1.27

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.26
Over 2.5 goals57%1.75
Over 3.5 goals35%fair 2.89
Over 4.5 goals18%fair 5.56
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 4.90
Under 2.5 goals43%2.17
Under 3.5 goals65%fair 1.53

BTTS

Both teams to score60%1.61
Not both teams to score40%2.37

Halves

First-half goal74%fair 1.36
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.59
Second-half goal81%fair 1.24

Team goals

Kilmarnock to score79%fair 1.27
ST Johnstone to score76%fair 1.32
Kilmarnock clean sheet24%fair 4.13
ST Johnstone clean sheet21%fair 4.72
Kilmarnock to win to nil22%fair 4.50
ST Johnstone to win to nil20%fair 5.13

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-111.3%
2-18.8%
1-28%
1-08%
0-17.3%
2-26.2%

Half-time / full-time

Kilmarnock / Kilmarnock24.4%
ST Johnstone / ST Johnstone20.6%
Draw / Draw13.7%
Draw / Kilmarnock13.6%
Draw / ST Johnstone12%

Questions about Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone

Who will win Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone?

The model gives Kilmarnock the best chance at 40%, with the draw at 26%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 57% backs the same picture with less variance.

Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 60%. Kilmarnock find the net in 79% of simulated matches and ST Johnstone in 76%.

When do Kilmarnock play ST Johnstone?

Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone starts at 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Kilmarnock v ST JohnstoneKilmarnock or ST Johnstone (no draw), 74%
1.27Bet