Celtic vs Kilmarnock prediction

Celtic vs Kilmarnock prediction and best bet

Celtic are a strong favourite in the Celtic vs Kilmarnock prediction, rated 82% to win this Premiership match on Sunday, 8 November 2026. Kilmarnock sit at 8% and the draw at 11%.

Expected goals are 3.33 for Celtic and 0.88 for Kilmarnock, a total of 4.21, which puts over 2.5 goals at 78% and both teams to score at 54%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Celtic to win is the main selection, rated 82%. BC.Game offer the top price at 1.17. That price implies 85%, 4 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

For a safer line, celtic or draw covers 92% of outcomes at 1.01.

With the draw down at 11%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Over the last 5 matches Celtic stand at 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Kilmarnock show 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats in 5.

Celtic vs Kilmarnock over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Under 2.5 goals is rated 22% and under 3.5 40%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 92% and over 2.5 at 78%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 78%, best priced 1.26 at BC.Game.

Both teams to score is 54%: Celtic find the net in 96% of simulated matches and Kilmarnock in 59%. Celtic keep a clean sheet 42% of the time and Kilmarnock 4%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Celtic vs Kilmarnock: 3-0 (9.1%), 2-0 (8.2%) and 3-1 (8%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.1% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Celtic, full-time Celtic is the top combination at 62%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 85%.