ST Johnstone vs Dundee prediction

ST Johnstone vs Dundee prediction, who wins and at what price

Nothing separates the sides in the ST Johnstone vs Dundee prediction for Saturday, 7 November 2026: 42% home, 25% draw and 34% away in the Premiership. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.

Expected goals are 1.53 for ST Johnstone and 1.35 for Dundee, a total of 2.88, which puts over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 60%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is sT Johnstone or Dundee (no draw) at 75%. Stake offer the top price at 1.28. That price implies 78%, 3 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on ST Johnstone vs Dundee.

Form check: ST Johnstone have won 1 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 9 conceded, Dundee 3 of 5 scoring 10 and conceding 7.

ST Johnstone vs Dundee goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Under 2.5 goals is rated 46% and under 3.5 67%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 78% and over 2.5 at 55%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 55%, best priced 1.71 at 22Bet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 60%, built from ST Johnstone scoring in 78% of runs and Dundee in 74%; clean sheets come at 26% for ST Johnstone and 22% for Dundee.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.6%, followed by 2-1 (8.9%) and 1-0 (8.6%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time ST Johnstone, full-time ST Johnstone leads at 25%. A goal before the break is rated 73%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.