Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk prediction

Our Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk prediction and pick

Heart Of Midlothian host Falkirk on Sunday, 8 November 2026 in the Premiership, and the model has Heart Of Midlothian at 63%, the draw at 20% and Falkirk at 17%: that is the Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk prediction in one line.

Expected goals are 2.19 for Heart Of Midlothian and 1.05 for Falkirk, a total of 3.24, which puts over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 58%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Heart Of Midlothian to win is the main selection, rated 63%. At 1.47 with 1xBet the market prices it at 68%, against 63% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Heart Of Midlothian or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 83% chance, priced 1.11.

With the draw down at 20%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Over the last 5 matches Heart Of Midlothian stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Falkirk show 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats in 5.

Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 83%, over 2.5 at 63%, over 3.5 at 41%; under 2.5 is 37% and under 3.5 is 59%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 63%, best priced 1.52 at Stake.

Both teams to score is 58%: Heart Of Midlothian find the net in 89% of simulated matches and Falkirk in 65%. Heart Of Midlothian keep a clean sheet 35% of the time and Falkirk 11%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk: 2-1 (9.9%), 2-0 (9.4%) and 1-1 (9%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Heart Of Midlothian, full-time Heart Of Midlothian is the top combination at 42%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 77%.