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Live 18 UTC
Premiership Round 9 Saturday, 17 October 2026 FT
ST JohnstoneHomeWDLDD
1:1Half-time 1:0
Dundee UtdAwayWWDWD
322741
ST Johnstone winDrawDundee Utd win
Kick-off
Sat 17 Oct
Expected goals
2.93
1.36 : 1.57
Favourite
41%
Dundee Utd
Over 2.5 goals
56%
model chance
Both teams to score
60%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.893.422.321.702.081.562.28Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Dundee Utd to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd prediction: ST Johnstone 2.89 (1xBet), draw 3.42 (1xBet), Dundee Utd 2.32 (1xBet).

The best-price payout across the three results is 93.5%, several points better than any single book offers here.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.70 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.08 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.56 (1xBet) and no 2.28 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

73%

Our prediction

ST Johnstone or Dundee Utd (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.36 : 1.57-6.1% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
56% chance1.70
BTTSBoth teams to score
60% chance1.56
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
79% chance1.27fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance8.77fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Dundee Utd, full-time Dundee Utd
26% chance3.91fair
First halfFirst-half goal
73% chance1.37fair

ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd prediction

ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd prediction and best bet

ST Johnstone host Dundee Utd on Saturday, 17 October 2026 in the Premiership, and the model has Dundee Utd at 41%, the draw at 27% and ST Johnstone at 32%: that is the ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd prediction in one line.

ST Johnstone are expected to score 1.36 and Dundee Utd 1.57, so the total line is 2.93 goals; over 2.5 lands at 56% and BTTS at 60%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd is sT Johnstone or Dundee Utd (no draw), a 73% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.29 at 1xBet, which implies 78%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Form check: ST Johnstone have won 1 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 9 conceded, Dundee Utd 3 of 5 scoring 10 and conceding 5.

How many goals in ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Under 2.5 goals is rated 45% and under 3.5 66%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 79% and over 2.5 at 56%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 56%, best priced 1.70 at 1xBet.

Both teams to score is 60%: ST Johnstone find the net in 74% of simulated matches and Dundee Utd in 79%. ST Johnstone keep a clean sheet 21% of the time and Dundee Utd 26%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd: 1-1 (11.4%), 1-2 (9%) and 0-1 (8.4%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Dundee Utd, full-time Dundee Utd leads at 26%. A goal before the break is rated 73%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

ST Johnstone to win32%2.89
Draw27%3.42
Dundee Utd to win41%2.32
ST Johnstone, draw no bet44%fair 2.30
Dundee Utd, draw no bet57%fair 1.77

Double chance

ST Johnstone or draw59%1.57
Dundee Utd or draw68%1.38
ST Johnstone or Dundee Utd (no draw)73%1.29

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals79%fair 1.27
Over 2.5 goals56%1.70
Over 3.5 goals34%fair 2.97
Over 4.5 goals17%fair 5.78
Under 1.5 goals21%fair 4.76
Under 2.5 goals45%2.08
Under 3.5 goals66%fair 1.51

BTTS

Both teams to score60%1.56
Not both teams to score40%2.28

Halves

First-half goal73%fair 1.37
Over 1.5 first-half goals38%fair 2.63
Second-half goal80%fair 1.25

Team goals

ST Johnstone to score74%fair 1.35
Dundee Utd to score79%fair 1.26
ST Johnstone clean sheet21%fair 4.81
Dundee Utd clean sheet26%fair 3.89
ST Johnstone to win to nil19%fair 5.24
Dundee Utd to win to nil24%fair 4.24

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-111.4%
1-29%
0-18.4%
2-17.8%
1-07.3%
0-26.6%

Half-time / full-time

Dundee Utd / Dundee Utd25.6%
ST Johnstone / ST Johnstone19.3%
Draw / Dundee Utd14.2%
Draw / Draw13.9%
Draw / ST Johnstone11.6%

Questions about ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd

Who is favourite in ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd?

The model gives Dundee Utd the best chance at 41%, with the draw at 27%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What scoreline is most likely in ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 56%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd?

The BTTS yes line is rated 60%. ST Johnstone find the net in 74% of simulated matches and Dundee Utd in 79%.

What time does ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd kick off?

ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd starts at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, ST Johnstone v Dundee UtdST Johnstone or Dundee Utd (no draw), 73%
1.29Bet