Liga Portugal
Round 11 Sunday, 8 November 2026
Kick-off
Vitória SCHomeDLWW
Sun 8 Nov
FC PortoAwayWLLWW192556
Vitória SC winDrawFC Porto win
Liga Portugal
Round 11 Sunday, 8 November 2026
Kick-off
Vitória SCHomeDLWWFC PortoAwayWLLWW- Kick-off Sun 8 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.57 0.88 : 1.69
- Favourite
- 56% FC Porto
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 48% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Best odds for Vitória SC vs FC Porto
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 5.03 | 3.78 | 1.76 | - | - | - | - | Bet |
 22Bet | 4.88 | 3.70 | 1.73 | 2.00 | 1.81 | 1.88 | 1.82 | Bet |
 BC.Game | - | - | - | 1.95 | 1.78 | - | - | Bet |
 Betwinner | 5.05 | 3.74 | 1.70 | 2.01 | 1.80 | 1.93 | 1.80 | Bet |
 Melbet | 4.88 | 3.70 | 1.73 | 2.00 | 1.81 | 1.88 | 1.82 | Bet |
 Stake | 4.90 | 3.70 | 1.68 | 1.92 | 1.79 | 1.90 | 1.77 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
FC Porto to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Vitória SC vs FC Porto are 5.05 for Vitória SC at Betwinner, 3.78 for the draw at 1xBet and 1.76 for FC Porto at 1xBet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 97%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.01 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 1.81 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.93 (Betwinner) and no 1.82 (22Bet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
56%
Our prediction
FC Porto to win
Double chanceFC Porto or draw
81% chance1.20
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
53% chance1.81
BTTSNot both teams to score
52% chance1.82
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
73% chance1.38fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
13% chance7.75fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time FC Porto, full-time FC Porto
35% chance2.84fair
Vitória SC vs FC Porto prediction
Vitória SC vs FC Porto prediction and best bet
Vitória SC host FC Porto on Sunday, 8 November 2026 in the Liga Portugal, and the model has FC Porto at 56%, the draw at 25% and Vitória SC at 19%: that is the Vitória SC vs FC Porto prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 0.88 for Vitória SC and 1.69 for FC Porto, a total of 2.57, which puts over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 48%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
FC Porto to win is the main selection, rated 56%. The best price in our comparison is 1.76 at 1xBet, which implies 57%, so the model sits 0 points below the market.
FC Porto or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 81% chance, priced 1.20.
Over the last 4 matches Vitória SC stand at 2 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; FC Porto show 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
Vitória SC vs FC Porto goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Under 2.5 goals is rated 53% and under 3.5 74%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 73% and over 2.5 at 47%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; 22Bet pay 1.81.
The chance of both teams scoring is 48%, built from Vitória SC scoring in 59% of runs and FC Porto in 82%; clean sheets come at 19% for Vitória SC and 42% for FC Porto.
Correct score: 0-1 leads at 12.9%, then 1-1 at 11.4% and 0-2 at 10.9%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time FC Porto, full-time FC Porto leads at 35%. A goal before the break is rated 69%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Vitória SC vs FC Porto
The grid built from 0.88 and 1.69 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Vitória SC to win19%5.05
Draw25%3.78
FC Porto to win56%1.76
Vitória SC, draw no bet25%fair 4.02
FC Porto, draw no bet75%fair 1.33
Double chance
Vitória SC or draw44%2.16
FC Porto or draw81%1.20
Vitória SC or FC Porto (no draw)75%1.30
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals73%fair 1.38
Over 2.5 goals47%2.01
Over 3.5 goals26%fair 3.89
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.47
Under 1.5 goals27%fair 3.66
Under 2.5 goals53%1.81
Under 3.5 goals74%fair 1.35
BTTS
Both teams to score48%1.93
Not both teams to score52%1.82
Halves
First-half goal69%fair 1.46
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.11
Second-half goal76%fair 1.32
Team goals
Vitória SC to score59%fair 1.71
FC Porto to score82%fair 1.23
Vitória SC clean sheet19%fair 5.41
FC Porto clean sheet42%fair 2.41
Vitória SC to win to nil17%fair 5.88
FC Porto to win to nil38%fair 2.62
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
0-112.9%
1-111.4%
0-210.9%
1-29.6%
0-07.7%
1-06.7%
Half-time / full-time
FC Porto / FC Porto35.2%
Draw / FC Porto18.7%
Draw / Draw15.2%
Vitória SC / Vitória SC10.6%
Draw / Vitória SC7.7%
Questions about Vitória SC vs FC Porto
Vitória SC or FC Porto: which side does the model back?
The model gives FC Porto the best chance at 56%, with the draw at 25%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in Vitória SC vs FC Porto?
0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 47%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Vitória SC vs FC Porto both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 48%. Vitória SC find the net in 59% of simulated matches and FC Porto in 82%.
When do Vitória SC play FC Porto?
Kick-off is 18:00 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.