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Taça de Portugal Round of 64 Saturday, 17 October 2026 FT
Recreativa de LamelasHomeWL
0:1Half-time 0:0
Vitória SCAwayDLWW
2692
Recreativa de Lamelas winDrawVitória SC win
Kick-off
Sat 17 Oct
Expected goals
3.76
0.22 : 3.54
Favourite
92%
Vitória SC
Over 2.5 goals
70%
model chance
Both teams to score
18%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Recreativa de Lamelas vs Vitória SC odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet50.0012.501.011.273.143.841.22Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Vitória SC to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Recreativa de Lamelas vs Vitória SC prediction: Recreativa de Lamelas 50.00 (1xBet), draw 12.50 (1xBet), Vitória SC 1.01 (1xBet).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 91.7%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.27 (1xBet) and under 2.5 3.14 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 3.84 (1xBet) and no 1.22 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

92%

Our prediction

Vitória SC to win
BankerExpected goals 0.22 : 3.54-7.5% against the best price
Double chanceVitória SC or draw
98% chance-
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
70% chance1.27
BTTSNot both teams to score
82% chance1.22
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
89% chance1.13fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-3
17% chance5.81fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Vitória SC, full-time Vitória SC
76% chance1.32fair

Recreativa de Lamelas vs Vitória SC prediction

Recreativa de Lamelas vs Vitória SC prediction, who wins and at what price

Recreativa de Lamelas host Vitória SC on Saturday, 17 October 2026 in the Taça de Portugal, and the model has Vitória SC at 92%, the draw at 6% and Recreativa de Lamelas at 2%: that is the Recreativa de Lamelas vs Vitória SC prediction in one line.

Recreativa de Lamelas are expected to score 0.22 and Vitória SC 3.54, so the total line is 3.76 goals; over 2.5 lands at 70% and BTTS at 18%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Vitória SC to win is the main selection, rated 92%. The best price in our comparison is 1.01 at 1xBet, which implies 99%, so the model sits 7 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

For a safer line, vitória SC or draw covers 98% of outcomes at -.

With the draw down at 6%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Goals forecast for Recreativa de Lamelas vs Vitória SC with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines Recreativa de Lamelas vs Vitória SC reads 89% for over 1.5, 70% for over 2.5 and 52% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 30%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 70%, best priced 1.27 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 18%, built from Recreativa de Lamelas scoring in 20% of runs and Vitória SC in 97%; clean sheets come at 3% for Recreativa de Lamelas and 80% for Vitória SC.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 82%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Recreativa de Lamelas vs Vitória SC: 0-3 (17.2%), 0-4 (15.2%) and 0-2 (14.6%).

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Vitória SC, full-time Vitória SC leads at 76%. A goal before the break is rated 82%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Recreativa de Lamelas vs Vitória SC

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 2% / 6% / 92% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Recreativa de Lamelas to win2%50.00
Draw6%12.50
Vitória SC to win92%1.01
Recreativa de Lamelas, draw no bet3%fair 38.46
Vitória SC, draw no bet97%fair 1.03

Double chance

Recreativa de Lamelas or draw8%10.00
Vitória SC or draw98%-
Recreativa de Lamelas or Vitória SC (no draw)94%-

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals89%fair 1.13
Over 2.5 goals70%1.27
Over 3.5 goals52%fair 1.94
Over 4.5 goals32%fair 3.12
Under 1.5 goals11%fair 8.77
Under 2.5 goals30%3.14
Under 3.5 goals49%fair 2.06

BTTS

Both teams to score18%3.84
Not both teams to score82%1.22

Halves

First-half goal82%fair 1.23
Over 1.5 first-half goals50%fair 1.98
Second-half goal87%fair 1.14

Team goals

Recreativa de Lamelas to score20%fair 5.08
Vitória SC to score97%fair 1.03
Recreativa de Lamelas clean sheet3%fair 34.48
Vitória SC clean sheet80%fair 1.25
Recreativa de Lamelas to win to nil2%fair 45.45
Vitória SC to win to nil74%fair 1.36

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

0-317.2%
0-415.2%
0-214.6%
0-510.8%
0-18.2%
1-33.8%

Half-time / full-time

Vitória SC / Vitória SC75.5%
Draw / Vitória SC17.6%
Draw / Draw3.4%
Recreativa de Lamelas / Vitória SC1.1%
Vitória SC / Draw0.6%

Questions about Recreativa de Lamelas vs Vitória SC

Recreativa de Lamelas or Vitória SC: which side does the model back?

The model gives Vitória SC the best chance at 92%, with the draw at 6%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

Recreativa de Lamelas vs Vitória SC correct score: what does the model say?

0-3 is the most likely scoreline at 17.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 70%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Recreativa de Lamelas vs Vitória SC both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 18%. Recreativa de Lamelas find the net in 20% of simulated matches and Vitória SC in 97%.

What time does Recreativa de Lamelas vs Vitória SC kick off?

Kick-off is 13:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Recreativa de Lamelas v Vitória SCVitória SC to win, 92%
1.01Bet