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Live 8 UTC
Liga Portugal Round 9 Friday, 23 October 2026 FT
Vitória SCHomeDLWW
5:0Half-time 1:0
MaritimoAwayDLWLL
592318
Vitória SC winDrawMaritimo win
Kick-off
Fri 23 Oct
Expected goals
2.65
1.78 : 0.87
Favourite
59%
Vitória SC
Over 2.5 goals
49%
model chance
Both teams to score
48%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Vitória SC vs Maritimo betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.554.326.411.891.991.901.80Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Vitória SC to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Vitória SC vs Maritimo are 1.55 for Vitória SC at 1xBet, 4.32 for the draw at 1xBet and 6.41 for Maritimo at 1xBet.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 96.8%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.89 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.99 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.90 (1xBet) and no 1.80 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

59%

Our prediction

Vitória SC to win
StrongExpected goals 1.78 : 0.87-8.9% against the best price
Double chanceVitória SC or draw
82% chance1.14
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
51% chance1.99
BTTSNot both teams to score
52% chance1.80
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.35fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
13% chance7.94fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Vitória SC, full-time Vitória SC
37% chance2.69fair

Vitória SC vs Maritimo prediction

Vitória SC vs Maritimo prediction, who wins and at what price

Vitória SC are a narrow favourite in the Vitória SC vs Maritimo prediction, rated 59% to win this Liga Portugal match on Friday, 23 October 2026. Maritimo sit at 18% and the draw at 23%.

The goal expectancy is 2.65 in total, split 1.78 to Vitória SC and 0.87 to Maritimo. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 49% and both teams to score 48%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Vitória SC to win is the main selection, rated 59%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.55. That price implies 65%, 6 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

For a safer line, vitória SC or draw covers 82% of outcomes at 1.14.

Vitória SC average 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded across their last 4, Maritimo 0.8 and 2.2 across 5.

Vitória SC vs Maritimo goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 74%, over 2.5 at 49%, over 3.5 at 28%; under 2.5 is 51% and under 3.5 is 73%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 51%, best priced 1.99 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 48%, built from Vitória SC scoring in 83% of runs and Maritimo in 58%; clean sheets come at 42% for Vitória SC and 17% for Maritimo.

Correct score: 1-0 leads at 12.6%, then 2-0 at 11.2% and 1-1 at 10.9%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Vitória SC, full-time Vitória SC is the top combination at 37%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 70%.

Every market rated for Vitória SC vs Maritimo

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 59% / 23% / 18% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Vitória SC to win59%1.55
Draw23%4.32
Maritimo to win18%6.41
Vitória SC, draw no bet77%fair 1.30
Maritimo, draw no bet23%fair 4.29

Double chance

Vitória SC or draw82%1.14
Maritimo or draw41%2.58
Vitória SC or Maritimo (no draw)77%1.25

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.35
Over 2.5 goals49%1.89
Over 3.5 goals28%fair 3.64
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.69
Under 1.5 goals26%fair 3.88
Under 2.5 goals51%1.99
Under 3.5 goals73%fair 1.38

BTTS

Both teams to score48%1.90
Not both teams to score52%1.80

Halves

First-half goal70%fair 1.43
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.99
Second-half goal77%fair 1.30

Team goals

Vitória SC to score83%fair 1.20
Maritimo to score58%fair 1.72
Vitória SC clean sheet42%fair 2.39
Maritimo clean sheet17%fair 5.92
Vitória SC to win to nil39%fair 2.60
Maritimo to win to nil16%fair 6.45

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-012.6%
2-011.2%
1-110.9%
2-19.7%
0-07.1%
3-06.6%

Half-time / full-time

Vitória SC / Vitória SC37.2%
Draw / Vitória SC19%
Draw / Draw14.4%
Maritimo / Maritimo9.8%
Draw / Maritimo7.2%

Questions about Vitória SC vs Maritimo

Who is favourite in Vitória SC vs Maritimo?

The model gives Vitória SC the best chance at 59%, with the draw at 23%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

Vitória SC vs Maritimo correct score: what does the model say?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 49%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Vitória SC vs Maritimo both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 48%. Vitória SC find the net in 83% of simulated matches and Maritimo in 58%.

When is Vitória SC vs Maritimo and where is the result shown?

Vitória SC vs Maritimo starts at 19:45 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Vitória SC v MaritimoVitória SC to win, 59%
1.55Bet