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Liga Portugal Round 11 Saturday, 7 November 2026 Kick-off
Sporting CPHomeWWLLW
Sat 7 Nov
MoreirenseAwayDLLWW
81118
Sporting CP winDrawMoreirense win
Kick-off
Sat 7 Nov
Expected goals
3.57
2.86 : 0.71
Favourite
81%
Sporting CP
Over 2.5 goals
68%
model chance
Both teams to score
48%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Sporting CP vs Moreirense betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.188.5015.501.422.811.981.74Bet
22Bet1.158.3015.001.422.811.981.74Bet
BC.Game1.167.2013.001.382.862.041.68Bet
Betwinner1.158.3015.001.422.811.981.74Bet
Melbet1.158.3015.001.422.811.981.74Bet
Stake1.157.6014.00--2.071.65Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Sporting CP to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Sporting CP price at 1.18, 1xBet lead the draw at 8.50 and 1xBet have Moreirense longest at 15.50.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 97.1%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.42 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.86 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 2.07 (Stake) and no 1.74 (22Bet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

81%

Our prediction

Sporting CP to win
BankerExpected goals 2.86 : 0.71-4.2% against the best price
Double chanceSporting CP or draw
93% chance1.04
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
68% chance1.42
BTTSNot both teams to score
52% chance1.74
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
87% chance1.15fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
12% chance8.70fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Sporting CP, full-time Sporting CP
59% chance1.71fair

Sporting CP vs Moreirense prediction

Sporting CP vs Moreirense prediction and best bet

The Sporting CP vs Moreirense prediction leans to Sporting CP: 81% against 7% for Moreirense, with 11% left for the draw, in the Liga Portugal on Saturday, 7 November 2026.

Sporting CP are expected to score 2.86 and Moreirense 0.71, so the total line is 3.57 goals; over 2.5 lands at 68% and BTTS at 48%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for Sporting CP vs Moreirense is sporting CP to win, a 81% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.18. That price implies 85%, 4 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Sporting CP vs Moreirense.

For a safer line, sporting CP or draw covers 93% of outcomes at 1.04.

With the draw down at 11%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Sporting CP average 2.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 5, Moreirense 1.2 and 1.0 across 5.

Sporting CP vs Moreirense over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Under 2.5 goals is rated 32% and under 3.5 52%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 87% and over 2.5 at 68%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 68%, best priced 1.42 at 1xBet.

BTTS yes stands at 48%. Sporting CP score in 94% of simulations against a 6% clean sheet for Moreirense; Moreirense score in 51% while Sporting CP shut them out 49% of the time.

Correct score: 2-0 leads at 11.5%, then 3-0 at 11% and 2-1 at 8.2%.

With the top scoreline at 11.5%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Sporting CP vs Moreirense; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Sporting CP, full-time Sporting CP leads at 59%. A goal before the break is rated 80%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Sporting CP vs Moreirense

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Sporting CP vs Moreirense, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Sporting CP to win81%1.18
Draw11%8.50
Moreirense to win7%15.50
Sporting CP, draw no bet92%fair 1.09
Moreirense, draw no bet8%fair 11.90

Double chance

Sporting CP or draw93%1.04
Moreirense or draw19%5.49
Sporting CP or Moreirense (no draw)89%1.10

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals87%fair 1.15
Over 2.5 goals68%1.42
Over 3.5 goals48%fair 2.09
Over 4.5 goals29%fair 3.48
Under 1.5 goals13%fair 7.75
Under 2.5 goals32%2.86
Under 3.5 goals52%fair 1.92

BTTS

Both teams to score48%2.07
Not both teams to score52%1.74

Halves

First-half goal80%fair 1.25
Over 1.5 first-half goals48%fair 2.10
Second-half goal86%fair 1.16

Team goals

Sporting CP to score94%fair 1.06
Moreirense to score51%fair 1.97
Sporting CP clean sheet49%fair 2.03
Moreirense clean sheet6%fair 17.54
Sporting CP to win to nil45%fair 2.21
Moreirense to win to nil5%fair 18.87

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-011.5%
3-011%
2-18.2%
1-08.1%
4-07.8%
3-17.8%

Half-time / full-time

Sporting CP / Sporting CP58.5%
Draw / Sporting CP19.6%
Draw / Draw7%
Moreirense / Moreirense3.4%
Moreirense / Sporting CP3.1%

Questions about Sporting CP vs Moreirense

Sporting CP or Moreirense: which side does the model back?

The model gives Sporting CP the best chance at 81%, with the draw at 11%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

Sporting CP vs Moreirense correct score: what does the model say?

2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 11.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 68% backs the same picture with less variance.

Sporting CP vs Moreirense both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 48%. Sporting CP find the net in 94% of simulated matches and Moreirense in 51%.

What time does Sporting CP vs Moreirense kick off?

Sporting CP vs Moreirense starts at 20:30 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Sporting CP v MoreirenseSporting CP to win, 81%
1.18Bet