GIL Vicente vs FC Porto prediction

Our GIL Vicente vs FC Porto prediction and pick

GIL Vicente vs FC Porto prediction for the Liga Portugal on Saturday, 24 October 2026: the model makes FC Porto the clear favourite at 67%, with the draw at 21% and GIL Vicente at 13%.

Expected goals are 0.72 for GIL Vicente and 1.96 for FC Porto, a total of 2.68, which puts over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 45%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

FC Porto to win is the main selection, rated 67%. The best price in our comparison is 1.47 at 1xBet, which implies 68%, so the model sits 1 points below the market.

FC Porto or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 87% chance, priced 1.11.

The draw sits at only 21%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

GIL Vicente average 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 5, FC Porto 1.8 and 1.0 across 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for GIL Vicente vs FC Porto

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 75%, over 2.5 at 50%, over 3.5 at 28%; under 2.5 is 51% and under 3.5 is 72%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 51%; 1xBet pay 1.94.

BTTS yes stands at 45%. GIL Vicente score in 51% of simulations against a 49% clean sheet for FC Porto; FC Porto score in 86% while GIL Vicente shut them out 14% of the time.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for GIL Vicente vs FC Porto: 0-1 (13.4%), 0-2 (13.2%) and 1-1 (9.7%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time FC Porto, full-time FC Porto is the top combination at 43%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 70%.