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Liga Portugal Round 11 Saturday, 7 November 2026 Kick-off
NacionalHomeLLLWL
Sat 7 Nov
Academico ViseuAwayWWLWW
312841
Nacional winDrawAcademico Viseu win
Kick-off
Sat 7 Nov
Expected goals
2.66
1.22 : 1.44
Favourite
41%
Academico Viseu
Over 2.5 goals
49%
model chance
Both teams to score
55%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Nacional vs Academico Viseu odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet3.063.392.441.971.911.692.05Bet
22Bet3.003.322.391.931.871.692.05Bet
BC.Game2.903.302.361.891.841.672.04Bet
Betwinner3.003.322.391.931.871.692.05Bet
Melbet3.003.322.391.931.871.692.05Bet
Stake2.953.302.351.861.841.702.00Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Academico Viseu to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Nacional vs Academico Viseu prediction: Nacional 3.06 (1xBet), draw 3.39 (1xBet), Academico Viseu 2.44 (1xBet).

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 96.9%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.97 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.91 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.70 (Stake) and no 2.05 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

72%

Our prediction

Nacional or Academico Viseu (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.22 : 1.44-2.2% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
51% chance1.91
BTTSBoth teams to score
55% chance1.70
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.34fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.13fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Academico Viseu, full-time Academico Viseu
25% chance3.98fair
First halfFirst-half goal
70% chance1.43fair

Nacional vs Academico Viseu prediction

Nacional vs Academico Viseu prediction and best bet

Academico Viseu are marginally ahead in the Nacional vs Academico Viseu prediction, rated 41% to win this Liga Portugal match on Saturday, 7 November 2026. Nacional sit at 31% and the draw at 28%.

The goal expectancy is 2.66 in total, split 1.22 to Nacional and 1.44 to Academico Viseu. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 49% and both teams to score 55%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for Nacional vs Academico Viseu is nacional or Academico Viseu (no draw), a 72% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.36 at 1xBet, which implies 74%, so the model sits 2 points below the market.

Form check: Nacional have won 1 of their last 5 with 3 scored and 9 conceded, Academico Viseu 4 of 5 scoring 8 and conceding 4.

How many goals in Nacional vs Academico Viseu? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

On the goal lines Nacional vs Academico Viseu reads 74% for over 1.5, 49% for over 2.5 and 28% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 51%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 51%; 1xBet pay 1.91.

The chance of both teams scoring is 55%, built from Nacional scoring in 71% of runs and Academico Viseu in 76%; clean sheets come at 24% for Nacional and 30% for Academico Viseu.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.3%, followed by 0-1 (10.1%) and 1-2 (8.8%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.3% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Academico Viseu, full-time Academico Viseu leads at 25%. A goal before the break is rated 70%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Nacional vs Academico Viseu

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Nacional vs Academico Viseu, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Nacional to win31%3.06
Draw28%3.39
Academico Viseu to win41%2.44
Nacional, draw no bet43%fair 2.34
Academico Viseu, draw no bet57%fair 1.75

Double chance

Nacional or draw59%1.61
Academico Viseu or draw69%1.42
Nacional or Academico Viseu (no draw)72%1.36

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.34
Over 2.5 goals49%1.97
Over 3.5 goals28%fair 3.61
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.63
Under 1.5 goals26%fair 3.91
Under 2.5 goals51%1.91
Under 3.5 goals72%fair 1.38

BTTS

Both teams to score55%1.70
Not both teams to score45%2.05

Halves

First-half goal70%fair 1.43
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.98
Second-half goal77%fair 1.30

Team goals

Nacional to score71%fair 1.42
Academico Viseu to score76%fair 1.31
Nacional clean sheet24%fair 4.22
Academico Viseu clean sheet30%fair 3.39
Nacional to win to nil22%fair 4.59
Academico Viseu to win to nil27%fair 3.68

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-112.3%
0-110.1%
1-28.8%
1-08.5%
2-17.5%
0-27.3%

Half-time / full-time

Academico Viseu / Academico Viseu25.1%
Nacional / Nacional18.4%
Draw / Draw15.6%
Draw / Academico Viseu14.7%
Draw / Nacional11.7%

Questions about Nacional vs Academico Viseu

Who will win Nacional vs Academico Viseu?

The model gives Academico Viseu the best chance at 41%, with the draw at 28%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

Nacional vs Academico Viseu correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 49%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Nacional vs Academico Viseu?

The BTTS yes line is rated 55%. Nacional find the net in 71% of simulated matches and Academico Viseu in 76%.

When do Nacional play Academico Viseu?

Kick-off is 15:30 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Nacional v Academico ViseuNacional or Academico Viseu (no draw), 72%
1.36Bet