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Live 8 UTC
Liga Portugal Round 11 Sunday, 8 November 2026 Kick-off
EstorilHomeLLDLL
Sun 8 Nov
MaritimoAwayDLWLL
442729
Estoril winDrawMaritimo win
Kick-off
Sun 8 Nov
Expected goals
2.69
1.50 : 1.19
Favourite
44%
Estoril
Over 2.5 goals
50%
model chance
Both teams to score
55%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Best odds for Estoril vs Maritimo

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.143.583.521.921.961.692.05Bet
22Bet2.093.503.441.881.921.692.05Bet
BC.Game2.043.403.401.851.861.692.02Bet
Betwinner2.093.503.441.881.921.692.05Bet
Melbet2.093.503.441.881.921.692.05Bet
Stake2.023.503.451.801.901.702.00Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Estoril to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Estoril vs Maritimo are 2.14 for Estoril at 1xBet, 3.58 for the draw at 1xBet and 3.52 for Maritimo at 1xBet.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 97%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.92 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.96 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.70 (Stake) and no 2.05 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

73%

Our prediction

Estoril or Maritimo (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.50 : 1.19-2.5% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
50% chance1.92
BTTSBoth teams to score
55% chance1.70
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
75% chance1.33fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.26fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Estoril, full-time Estoril
27% chance3.75fair
First halfFirst-half goal
70% chance1.42fair

Estoril vs Maritimo prediction

Estoril vs Maritimo prediction, who wins and at what price

Estoril host Maritimo on Sunday, 8 November 2026 in the Liga Portugal, and the model has Estoril at 44%, the draw at 27% and Maritimo at 29%: that is the Estoril vs Maritimo prediction in one line.

Estoril are expected to score 1.50 and Maritimo 1.19, so the total line is 2.69 goals; over 2.5 lands at 50% and BTTS at 55%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Estoril or Maritimo (no draw) is the main selection, rated 73%. At 1.33 with 1xBet the market prices it at 75%, against 73% from the model.

Over the last 5 matches Estoril stand at 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Maritimo show 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats in 5.

Estoril vs Maritimo goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Under 2.5 goals is rated 50% and under 3.5 72%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 75% and over 2.5 at 50%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 50%; 1xBet pay 1.92.

BTTS yes stands at 55%. Estoril score in 78% of simulations against a 22% clean sheet for Maritimo; Maritimo score in 70% while Estoril shut them out 30% of the time.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.1%, then 1-0 at 10.2% and 2-1 at 9.1%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Estoril, full-time Estoril leads at 27%. A goal before the break is rated 70%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Estoril vs Maritimo

The grid built from 1.50 and 1.19 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Estoril to win44%2.14
Draw27%3.58
Maritimo to win29%3.52
Estoril, draw no bet60%fair 1.67
Maritimo, draw no bet40%fair 2.50

Double chance

Estoril or draw71%1.34
Maritimo or draw56%1.77
Estoril or Maritimo (no draw)73%1.33

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals75%fair 1.33
Over 2.5 goals50%1.92
Over 3.5 goals28%fair 3.52
Over 4.5 goals14%fair 7.35
Under 1.5 goals25%fair 4.00
Under 2.5 goals50%1.96
Under 3.5 goals72%fair 1.40

BTTS

Both teams to score55%1.70
Not both teams to score45%2.05

Halves

First-half goal70%fair 1.42
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.93
Second-half goal77%fair 1.30

Team goals

Estoril to score78%fair 1.29
Maritimo to score70%fair 1.44
Estoril clean sheet30%fair 3.29
Maritimo clean sheet22%fair 4.48
Estoril to win to nil28%fair 3.57
Maritimo to win to nil21%fair 4.88

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-112.1%
1-010.2%
2-19.1%
0-18.1%
2-07.6%
1-27.2%

Half-time / full-time

Estoril / Estoril26.7%
Maritimo / Maritimo17.2%
Draw / Draw15.3%
Draw / Estoril15.2%
Draw / Maritimo11%

Questions about Estoril vs Maritimo

Who is favourite in Estoril vs Maritimo?

The model gives Estoril the best chance at 44%, with the draw at 27%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What is the correct score prediction for Estoril vs Maritimo?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.1%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 50%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Estoril vs Maritimo both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 55%. Estoril find the net in 78% of simulated matches and Maritimo in 70%.

When do Estoril play Maritimo?

Kick-off is 15:30 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Estoril v MaritimoEstoril or Maritimo (no draw), 73%
1.33Bet