Estrela vs Benfica prediction

Estrela vs Benfica prediction and best bet

The Estrela vs Benfica prediction leans to Benfica: 81% against 6% for Estrela, with 13% left for the draw, in the Liga Portugal on Sunday, 8 November 2026.

Estrela are expected to score 0.74 and Benfica 2.89, so the total line is 3.63 goals; over 2.5 lands at 69% and BTTS at 51%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Benfica to win is the main selection, rated 81%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.22. That price implies 82%, 1 points over the model figure.

Benfica or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 94% chance, priced 1.05.

With the draw down at 13%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Estrela average 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last 5, Benfica 2.6 and 1.2 across 5.

Goals forecast for Estrela vs Benfica with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 88%, over 2.5 at 69%, over 3.5 at 49%; under 2.5 is 31% and under 3.5 is 51%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 69%, best priced 1.43 at Betwinner.

The chance of both teams scoring is 51%, built from Estrela scoring in 52% of runs and Benfica in 94%; clean sheets come at 6% for Estrela and 48% for Benfica.

Correct score: 0-2 leads at 11.1%, then 0-3 at 10.7% and 1-2 at 8.2%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Benfica, full-time Benfica is the top combination at 58%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 81%.