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Live 12 UTC
Liga Portugal Round 9 Sunday, 25 October 2026 FT
NacionalHomeLLLWL
1:0Half-time 1:0
SC BragaAwayLLWLW
152164
Nacional winDrawSC Braga win
Kick-off
Sun 25 Oct
Expected goals
2.76
0.81 : 1.95
Favourite
64%
SC Braga
Over 2.5 goals
51%
model chance
Both teams to score
49%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Nacional vs SC Braga betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet6.934.431.511.911.971.971.75Bet
22Bet6.354.161.531.841.971.831.98Bet
BC.Game6.204.101.491.722.041.821.90Bet
Betwinner6.354.161.531.841.971.831.98Bet
Melbet6.354.161.531.841.971.831.98Bet
Stake6.004.401.501.722.051.861.84Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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SC Braga to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Nacional price at 6.93, 1xBet lead the draw at 4.43 and Melbet have SC Braga longest at 1.53.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 97.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.91 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.05 (Stake); both teams to score yes pays 1.97 (1xBet) and no 1.98 (Melbet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

64%

Our prediction

SC Braga to win
BankerExpected goals 0.81 : 1.95-2.1% against the best price
Double chanceSC Braga or draw
85% chance1.13
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
51% chance1.91
BTTSNot both teams to score
51% chance1.98
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.31fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
12% chance8.13fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time SC Braga, full-time SC Braga
42% chance2.41fair

Nacional vs SC Braga prediction

Nacional vs SC Braga prediction, who wins and at what price

Nacional host SC Braga on Sunday, 25 October 2026 in the Liga Portugal, and the model has SC Braga at 64%, the draw at 21% and Nacional at 15%: that is the Nacional vs SC Braga prediction in one line.

Expected goals are 0.81 for Nacional and 1.95 for SC Braga, a total of 2.76, which puts over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 49%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

SC Braga to win is the main selection, rated 64%. Melbet offer the top price at 1.53. That price implies 66%, 1 points over the model figure.

SC Braga or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 85% chance, priced 1.13.

With the draw down at 21%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Over the last 5 matches Nacional stand at 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; SC Braga show 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in 5.

Nacional vs SC Braga goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 76%, over 2.5 at 51%, over 3.5 at 30%; under 2.5 is 49% and under 3.5 is 70%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 51%, best priced 1.91 at 1xBet.

Both teams to score is 49%: Nacional find the net in 56% of simulated matches and SC Braga in 86%. Nacional keep a clean sheet 14% of the time and SC Braga 45%.

Correct score: 0-1 leads at 12.3%, then 0-2 at 12% and 1-1 at 10%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time SC Braga, full-time SC Braga is the top combination at 42%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 71%.

All markets, Nacional vs SC Braga

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 15% / 21% / 64% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Nacional to win15%6.93
Draw21%4.43
SC Braga to win64%1.53
Nacional, draw no bet19%fair 5.38
SC Braga, draw no bet81%fair 1.23

Double chance

Nacional or draw36%2.70
SC Braga or draw85%1.13
Nacional or SC Braga (no draw)79%1.24

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.31
Over 2.5 goals51%1.91
Over 3.5 goals30%fair 3.34
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.85
Under 1.5 goals24%fair 4.20
Under 2.5 goals49%2.05
Under 3.5 goals70%fair 1.43

BTTS

Both teams to score49%1.97
Not both teams to score51%1.98

Halves

First-half goal71%fair 1.41
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.84
Second-half goal78%fair 1.28

Team goals

Nacional to score56%fair 1.80
SC Braga to score86%fair 1.17
Nacional clean sheet14%fair 7.04
SC Braga clean sheet45%fair 2.25
Nacional to win to nil13%fair 7.63
SC Braga to win to nil41%fair 2.44

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

0-112.3%
0-212%
1-110%
1-29.7%
0-37.8%
1-36.3%

Half-time / full-time

SC Braga / SC Braga41.5%
Draw / SC Braga19.8%
Draw / Draw13.1%
Nacional / Nacional8%
Draw / Nacional5.9%

Questions about Nacional vs SC Braga

Nacional or SC Braga: which side does the model back?

The model gives SC Braga the best chance at 64%, with the draw at 21%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What is the correct score prediction for Nacional vs SC Braga?

0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 51%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Nacional vs SC Braga?

The BTTS yes line is rated 49%. Nacional find the net in 56% of simulated matches and SC Braga in 86%.

When is Nacional vs SC Braga and where is the result shown?

Nacional vs SC Braga starts at 18:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Nacional v SC BragaSC Braga to win, 64%
1.53Bet