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Liga Portugal Round 9 Sunday, 25 October 2026 FT
EstorilHomeLLDLL
1:3Half-time 0:3
MoreirenseAwayDLLWW
512623
Estoril winDrawMoreirense win
Kick-off
Sun 25 Oct
Expected goals
2.58
1.59 : 0.99
Favourite
51%
Estoril
Over 2.5 goals
48%
model chance
Both teams to score
51%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Estoril vs Moreirense betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.883.754.321.981.901.801.90Bet
22Bet1.903.694.102.041.831.831.98Bet
BC.Game1.853.404.101.941.791.841.89Bet
Betwinner1.883.644.062.011.811.831.98Bet
Melbet1.883.644.062.011.811.831.98Bet
Stake1.893.554.001.881.861.791.92Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Estoril to win partner prices

22Bet pay the best Estoril price at 1.90, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.75 and 1xBet have Moreirense longest at 4.32.

The best-price payout across the three results is 97.5%, several points better than any single book offers here.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.04 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.90 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.84 (BC.Game) and no 1.98 (Melbet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

51%

Our prediction

Estoril to win
LeanExpected goals 1.59 : 0.99-3.3% against the best price
Double chanceEstoril or draw
77% chance1.25
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
52% chance1.90
BTTSBoth teams to score
51% chance1.84
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
73% chance1.37fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
12% chance8.33fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Estoril, full-time Estoril
31% chance3.18fair

Estoril vs Moreirense prediction

Estoril vs Moreirense prediction, who wins and at what price

Estoril are a narrow favourite in the Estoril vs Moreirense prediction, rated 51% to win this Liga Portugal match on Sunday, 25 October 2026. Moreirense sit at 23% and the draw at 26%.

Estoril are expected to score 1.59 and Moreirense 0.99, so the total line is 2.58 goals; over 2.5 lands at 48% and BTTS at 51%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Estoril to win is the main selection, rated 51%. At 1.90 with 22Bet the market prices it at 53%, against 51% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

For a safer line, estoril or draw covers 77% of outcomes at 1.25.

Over the last 5 matches Estoril stand at 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Moreirense show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Estoril vs Moreirense

On the goal lines Estoril vs Moreirense reads 73% for over 1.5, 48% for over 2.5 and 26% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 52%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 52%, best priced 1.90 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 51%, built from Estoril scoring in 80% of runs and Moreirense in 63%; clean sheets come at 37% for Estoril and 20% for Moreirense.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Estoril vs Moreirense: 1-0 (12%), 1-1 (11.9%) and 2-0 (9.6%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Estoril, full-time Estoril is the top combination at 31%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 69%.

Every market rated for Estoril vs Moreirense

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 51% / 26% / 23% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Estoril to win51%1.90
Draw26%3.75
Moreirense to win23%4.32
Estoril, draw no bet69%fair 1.45
Moreirense, draw no bet31%fair 3.21

Double chance

Estoril or draw77%1.25
Moreirense or draw49%2.01
Estoril or Moreirense (no draw)74%1.31

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals73%fair 1.37
Over 2.5 goals48%2.04
Over 3.5 goals26%fair 3.85
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.33
Under 1.5 goals27%fair 3.69
Under 2.5 goals52%1.90
Under 3.5 goals74%fair 1.35

BTTS

Both teams to score51%1.84
Not both teams to score49%1.98

Halves

First-half goal69%fair 1.46
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.10
Second-half goal76%fair 1.32

Team goals

Estoril to score80%fair 1.26
Moreirense to score63%fair 1.59
Estoril clean sheet37%fair 2.69
Moreirense clean sheet20%fair 4.90
Estoril to win to nil34%fair 2.92
Moreirense to win to nil19%fair 5.32

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-012%
1-111.9%
2-09.6%
2-19.5%
0-07.6%
0-17.5%

Half-time / full-time

Estoril / Estoril31.4%
Draw / Estoril17.4%
Draw / Draw15.7%
Moreirense / Moreirense13.1%
Draw / Moreirense9.1%

Questions about Estoril vs Moreirense

Estoril or Moreirense: which side does the model back?

The model gives Estoril the best chance at 51%, with the draw at 26%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What scoreline is most likely in Estoril vs Moreirense?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 48%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Estoril vs Moreirense both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 51%. Estoril find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Moreirense in 63%.

When is Estoril vs Moreirense and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 15:30 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Estoril v MoreirenseEstoril to win, 51%
1.90Bet