Taça de Portugal
SanjoanenseHomeWW
1:0Half-time 0:0
NacionalAwayLLLWL111871
Sanjoanense winDrawNacional win
SanjoanenseHomeWWNacionalAwayLLLWL- Kick-off Sat 17 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.16 0.82 : 2.34
- Favourite
- 72% Nacional
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 52% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Sanjoanense vs Nacional odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 7.02 | 4.60 | 1.39 | 1.58 | 2.27 | 1.78 | 1.93 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Nacional to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Sanjoanense vs Nacional prediction: Sanjoanense 7.02 (1xBet), draw 4.60 (1xBet), Nacional 1.39 (1xBet).
The best-price payout across the three results is 92.7%, several points better than any single book offers here.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.58 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.27 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.78 (1xBet) and no 1.93 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
72%
Our prediction
Nacional to win
Double chanceNacional or draw
89% chance1.07
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
60% chance1.58
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.78
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
82% chance1.22fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-2
12% chance8.62fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Nacional, full-time Nacional
48% chance2.07fair
Sanjoanense vs Nacional prediction
Sanjoanense vs Nacional prediction, who wins and at what price
Sanjoanense host Nacional on Saturday, 17 October 2026 in the Taça de Portugal, and the model has Nacional at 72%, the draw at 18% and Sanjoanense at 11%: that is the Sanjoanense vs Nacional prediction in one line.
Sanjoanense are expected to score 0.82 and Nacional 2.34, so the total line is 3.16 goals; over 2.5 lands at 60% and BTTS at 52%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Nacional to win is the main selection, rated 72%. The best price in our comparison is 1.39 at 1xBet, which implies 72%, so the model sits 0 points below the market.
Nacional or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 89% chance, priced 1.07.
With the draw down at 18%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Sanjoanense vs Nacional over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Under 2.5 goals is rated 40% and under 3.5 61%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 82% and over 2.5 at 60%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 60%, best priced 1.58 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 52%, built from Sanjoanense scoring in 56% of runs and Nacional in 90%; clean sheets come at 10% for Sanjoanense and 44% for Nacional.
The most likely scoreline is 0-2 at 11.6%, followed by 0-1 (9.9%) and 1-2 (9.5%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Nacional, full-time Nacional is the top combination at 48%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 76%.
Every market rated for Sanjoanense vs Nacional
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Sanjoanense vs Nacional, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Sanjoanense to win11%7.02
Draw18%4.60
Nacional to win72%1.39
Sanjoanense, draw no bet13%fair 7.69
Nacional, draw no bet87%fair 1.15
Double chance
Sanjoanense or draw28%2.78
Nacional or draw89%1.07
Sanjoanense or Nacional (no draw)82%1.16
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals82%fair 1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.58
Over 3.5 goals39%fair 2.58
Over 4.5 goals21%fair 4.72
Under 1.5 goals18%fair 5.65
Under 2.5 goals40%2.27
Under 3.5 goals61%fair 1.63
BTTS
Both teams to score52%1.78
Not both teams to score48%1.93
Halves
First-half goal76%fair 1.32
Over 1.5 first-half goals42%fair 2.40
Second-half goal82%fair 1.21
Team goals
Sanjoanense to score56%fair 1.79
Nacional to score90%fair 1.11
Sanjoanense clean sheet10%fair 10.42
Nacional clean sheet44%fair 2.27
Sanjoanense to win to nil9%fair 11.24
Nacional to win to nil41%fair 2.47
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
0-211.6%
0-19.9%
1-29.5%
0-39.1%
1-18.1%
1-37.4%
Half-time / full-time
Nacional / Nacional48.3%
Draw / Nacional19.8%
Draw / Draw10.1%
Sanjoanense / Sanjoanense6.1%
Draw / Sanjoanense4.5%
Questions about Sanjoanense vs Nacional
Who is favourite in Sanjoanense vs Nacional?
The model gives Nacional the best chance at 72%, with the draw at 18%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What is the correct score prediction for Sanjoanense vs Nacional?
0-2 is the most likely scoreline at 11.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 60%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Sanjoanense vs Nacional both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Sanjoanense find the net in 56% of simulated matches and Nacional in 90%.
When is Sanjoanense vs Nacional and where is the result shown?
Sanjoanense vs Nacional starts at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.