Liga Portugal
Round 9 Sunday, 25 October 2026
FT
Rio AveHomeLWWLL
0:4Half-time 0:0
FamalicaoAwayWLLWL252847
Rio Ave winDrawFamalicao win
Liga Portugal
Round 9 Sunday, 25 October 2026
FT
Rio AveHomeLWWLLFamalicaoAwayWLLWL- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.69 1.10 : 1.59
- Favourite
- 48% Famalicao
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 54% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Rio Ave vs Famalicao betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.80 | 3.44 | 2.10 | 2.03 | 1.86 | 1.76 | 1.96 | Bet |
 22Bet | 3.62 | 3.42 | 2.06 | 2.01 | 1.81 | 1.78 | 2.04 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 3.60 | 3.30 | 2.02 | 1.89 | 1.84 | 1.79 | 1.94 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 3.62 | 3.42 | 2.06 | 2.01 | 1.81 | 1.78 | 2.04 | Bet |
 Melbet | 3.62 | 3.42 | 2.06 | 2.01 | 1.81 | 1.78 | 2.04 | Bet |
 Stake | 3.50 | 3.40 | 2.07 | 1.87 | 1.87 | 1.73 | 1.99 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Famalicao to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Rio Ave price at 3.80, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.44 and 1xBet have Famalicao longest at 2.10.
The best-price payout across the three results is 97.1%, several points better than any single book offers here.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.03 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.87 (Stake); both teams to score yes pays 1.79 (BC.Game) and no 2.04 (Melbet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
75%
Our prediction
Famalicao or draw
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
50% chance2.03
BTTSBoth teams to score
54% chance1.79
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
75% chance1.33fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.40fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Famalicao, full-time Famalicao
30% chance3.37fair
First halfFirst-half goal
70% chance1.42fair
Rio Ave vs Famalicao prediction
Rio Ave vs Famalicao prediction and best bet
Famalicao are marginally ahead in the Rio Ave vs Famalicao prediction, rated 48% to win this Liga Portugal match on Sunday, 25 October 2026. Rio Ave sit at 25% and the draw at 28%.
Rio Ave are expected to score 1.10 and Famalicao 1.59, so the total line is 2.69 goals; over 2.5 lands at 50% and BTTS at 54%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Rio Ave vs Famalicao is famalicao or draw, a 75% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.30. That price implies 77%, 2 points over the model figure.
Over the last 5 matches Rio Ave stand at 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Famalicao show 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Rio Ave vs Famalicao
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 75%, over 2.5 at 50%, over 3.5 at 28%; under 2.5 is 50% and under 3.5 is 72%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 50%; 1xBet pay 2.03.
BTTS yes stands at 54%. Rio Ave score in 67% of simulations against a 33% clean sheet for Famalicao; Famalicao score in 80% while Rio Ave shut them out 20% of the time.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.9%, followed by 0-1 (10.8%) and 1-2 (9.4%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Famalicao, full-time Famalicao leads at 30%. A goal before the break is rated 70%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Rio Ave vs Famalicao
The grid built from 1.10 and 1.59 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Rio Ave to win25%3.80
Draw28%3.44
Famalicao to win48%2.10
Rio Ave, draw no bet34%fair 2.91
Famalicao, draw no bet66%fair 1.52
Double chance
Rio Ave or draw53%1.81
Famalicao or draw75%1.30
Rio Ave or Famalicao (no draw)73%1.35
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals75%fair 1.33
Over 2.5 goals50%2.03
Over 3.5 goals28%fair 3.52
Over 4.5 goals14%fair 7.35
Under 1.5 goals25%fair 4.00
Under 2.5 goals50%1.87
Under 3.5 goals72%fair 1.40
BTTS
Both teams to score54%1.79
Not both teams to score46%2.04
Halves
First-half goal70%fair 1.42
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.93
Second-half goal77%fair 1.30
Team goals
Rio Ave to score67%fair 1.50
Famalicao to score80%fair 1.26
Rio Ave clean sheet20%fair 4.90
Famalicao clean sheet33%fair 3.00
Rio Ave to win to nil19%fair 5.32
Famalicao to win to nil31%fair 3.27
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.9%
0-110.8%
1-29.4%
0-28.6%
1-07.5%
0-06.8%
Half-time / full-time
Famalicao / Famalicao29.7%
Draw / Famalicao16.4%
Draw / Draw15.1%
Rio Ave / Rio Ave14.8%
Draw / Rio Ave9.9%
Questions about Rio Ave vs Famalicao
Rio Ave or Famalicao: which side does the model back?
The model gives Famalicao the best chance at 48%, with the draw at 28%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Rio Ave vs Famalicao?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 50%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Rio Ave vs Famalicao both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 54%. Rio Ave find the net in 67% of simulated matches and Famalicao in 80%.
When do Rio Ave play Famalicao?
Rio Ave vs Famalicao starts at 18:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.