Taça de Portugal
SalgueirosHomeWD
1:1Half-time 0:0Penalties 1:4
EstorilAwayLLDLL91972
Salgueiros winDrawEstoril win
SalgueirosHomeWDEstorilAwayLLDLL- Kick-off Sun 18 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.61 0.58 : 2.03
- Favourite
- 72% Estoril
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 39% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Salgueiros vs Estoril odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 8.35 | 4.45 | 1.36 | 1.94 | 1.79 | 2.26 | 1.57 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Estoril to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Salgueiros vs Estoril prediction: Salgueiros 8.35 (1xBet), draw 4.45 (1xBet), Estoril 1.36 (1xBet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 92.6%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.94 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.79 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.26 (1xBet) and no 1.57 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
72%
Our prediction
Estoril to win
Double chanceEstoril or draw
91% chance1.04
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
52% chance1.79
BTTSNot both teams to score
61% chance1.57
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
73% chance1.36fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-2
15% chance6.58fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Estoril, full-time Estoril
47% chance2.11fair
Salgueiros vs Estoril prediction
Our Salgueiros vs Estoril prediction and pick
Estoril are the clear favourite in the Salgueiros vs Estoril prediction, rated 72% to win this Taça de Portugal match on Sunday, 18 October 2026. Salgueiros sit at 9% and the draw at 19%.
The goal expectancy is 2.61 in total, split 0.58 to Salgueiros and 2.03 to Estoril. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 48% and both teams to score 39%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is estoril to win at 72%. At 1.36 with 1xBet the market prices it at 74%, against 72% from the model.
For a safer line, estoril or draw covers 91% of outcomes at 1.04.
The draw sits at only 19%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Salgueiros vs Estoril
On the goal lines Salgueiros vs Estoril reads 73% for over 1.5, 48% for over 2.5 and 27% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 52%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 52%; 1xBet pay 1.79.
The chance of both teams scoring is 39%, built from Salgueiros scoring in 44% of runs and Estoril in 87%; clean sheets come at 13% for Salgueiros and 56% for Estoril.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Salgueiros vs Estoril: 0-2 (15.2%), 0-1 (14.9%) and 0-3 (10.3%).
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Estoril, full-time Estoril leads at 47%. A goal before the break is rated 69%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Salgueiros vs Estoril
The grid built from 0.58 and 2.03 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Salgueiros to win9%8.35
Draw19%4.45
Estoril to win72%1.36
Salgueiros, draw no bet11%fair 9.09
Estoril, draw no bet89%fair 1.12
Double chance
Salgueiros or draw28%2.90
Estoril or draw91%1.04
Salgueiros or Estoril (no draw)81%1.17
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals73%fair 1.36
Over 2.5 goals48%1.94
Over 3.5 goals27%fair 3.76
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.06
Under 1.5 goals27%fair 3.76
Under 2.5 goals52%1.79
Under 3.5 goals73%fair 1.36
BTTS
Both teams to score39%2.26
Not both teams to score61%1.57
Halves
First-half goal69%fair 1.45
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.05
Second-half goal76%fair 1.31
Team goals
Salgueiros to score44%fair 2.27
Estoril to score87%fair 1.15
Salgueiros clean sheet13%fair 7.63
Estoril clean sheet56%fair 1.79
Salgueiros to win to nil8%fair 12.20
Estoril to win to nil52%fair 1.94
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
0-215.2%
0-114.9%
0-310.3%
1-28.8%
1-18.7%
0-07.4%
Half-time / full-time
Estoril / Estoril47.4%
Draw / Estoril21.8%
Draw / Draw12.8%
Salgueiros / Salgueiros4.9%
Draw / Salgueiros4.1%
Questions about Salgueiros vs Estoril
Who will win Salgueiros vs Estoril?
The model gives Estoril the best chance at 72%, with the draw at 19%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What is the correct score prediction for Salgueiros vs Estoril?
0-2 is the most likely scoreline at 15.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 48%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Salgueiros vs Estoril?
The BTTS yes line is rated 39%. Salgueiros find the net in 44% of simulated matches and Estoril in 87%.
What time does Salgueiros vs Estoril kick off?
Salgueiros vs Estoril starts at 14:00 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.