Maritimo vs Santa Clara prediction

Maritimo vs Santa Clara prediction and best bet

Maritimo vs Santa Clara prediction for the Liga Portugal on Sunday, 1 November 2026: the model makes Santa Clara marginally ahead at 46%, with the draw at 30% and Maritimo at 25%.

Expected goals are 0.94 for Maritimo and 1.35 for Santa Clara, a total of 2.29, which puts over 2.5 goals at 40% and both teams to score at 46%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Santa Clara or draw is the main selection, rated 75%. The best price in our comparison is 1.36 at Betwinner, which implies 74%, so the model sits 2 points above the market.

Maritimo average 0.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded across their last 5, Santa Clara 1.2 and 1.0 across 5.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Maritimo vs Santa Clara

Under 2.5 goals is rated 60% and under 3.5 80%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 67% and over 2.5 at 40%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 60%, best priced 1.62 at 22Bet.

BTTS yes stands at 46%. Maritimo score in 61% of simulations against a 39% clean sheet for Santa Clara; Santa Clara score in 74% while Maritimo shut them out 26% of the time.

Correct score: 0-1 leads at 13.7%, then 1-1 at 12.9% and 0-0 at 10.1%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Santa Clara, full-time Santa Clara leads at 27%. A goal before the break is rated 64%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.