Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia prediction

Our Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia prediction and pick

The Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia prediction leans to Jagiellonia: 54% against 23% for Lechia Gdansk, with 23% left for the draw, in the Poland Cup on Wednesday, 28 October 2026.

The goal expectancy is 2.87 in total, split 1.08 to Lechia Gdansk and 1.79 to Jagiellonia. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 55% and both teams to score 55%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia is jagiellonia to win, a 54% chance. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.61. That price implies 62%, 8 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia.

Lechia Gdansk or Jagiellonia (no draw) is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 77% chance, priced 1.23.

Form check: Lechia Gdansk have won 3 of their last 5 with 8 scored and 12 conceded, Jagiellonia 3 of 5 scoring 10 and conceding 5.

How many goals in Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

On the goal lines Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia reads 78% for over 1.5, 55% for over 2.5 and 32% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 45%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 55%, best priced 1.69 at 22Bet.

Both teams to score is 55%: Lechia Gdansk find the net in 66% of simulated matches and Jagiellonia in 83%. Lechia Gdansk keep a clean sheet 17% of the time and Jagiellonia 34%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11%, followed by 0-1 (10.1%) and 1-2 (9.8%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Jagiellonia, full-time Jagiellonia leads at 34%. A goal before the break is rated 73%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.