Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock prediction

Our Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock prediction and pick

Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock prediction for the Ekstraklasa on Sunday, 25 October 2026: the model makes Jagiellonia a narrow favourite at 50%, with the draw at 25% and Wisla Plock at 25%.

Jagiellonia are expected to score 1.77 and Wisla Plock 1.22, so the total line is 2.99 goals; over 2.5 lands at 57% and BTTS at 60%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock is jagiellonia or Wisla Plock (no draw), a 75% chance. At 1.28 with BC.Game the market prices it at 78%, against 75% from the model.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock.

Form check: Jagiellonia have won 3 of their last 5 with 10 scored and 5 conceded, Wisla Plock 2 of 5 scoring 5 and conceding 7.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock

Under 2.5 goals is rated 43% and under 3.5 65%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 80% and over 2.5 at 57%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 57%; Betwinner pay 1.74.

Both teams to score is 60%: Jagiellonia find the net in 83% of simulated matches and Wisla Plock in 71%. Jagiellonia keep a clean sheet 30% of the time and Wisla Plock 17%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.9%, followed by 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.9%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Jagiellonia, full-time Jagiellonia is the top combination at 31%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.