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Poland Cup Round of 32 Tuesday, 27 October 2026 FT
Olimpia GrudziądzHomeL
0:1Half-time 0:0
NiecieczaAwayDWLWD
342442
Olimpia Grudziądz winDrawNieciecza win
Kick-off
Tue 27 Oct
Expected goals
2.94
1.38 : 1.56
Favourite
42%
Nieciecza
Over 2.5 goals
56%
model chance
Both teams to score
60%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Olimpia Grudziądz vs Nieciecza odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.853.442.141.701.991.582.19Bet
22Bet2.533.502.581.812.001.622.21Bet
BC.Game2.423.652.421.712.041.582.16Bet
Betwinner2.533.502.581.812.001.622.21Bet
Melbet2.533.502.581.812.001.622.21Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Nieciecza to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Olimpia Grudziądz price at 2.85, BC.Game lead the draw at 3.65 and Melbet have Nieciecza longest at 2.58.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 98.7%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.81 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.04 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.62 (Melbet) and no 2.21 (Melbet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

76%

Our prediction

Olimpia Grudziądz or Nieciecza (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.38 : 1.56-3.6% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
56% chance1.81
BTTSBoth teams to score
60% chance1.62
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
79% chance1.26fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance8.77fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Nieciecza, full-time Nieciecza
25% chance3.98fair
First halfFirst-half goal
73% chance1.36fair

Olimpia Grudziądz vs Nieciecza prediction

Olimpia Grudziądz vs Nieciecza prediction, who wins and at what price

Olimpia Grudziądz vs Nieciecza prediction for the Poland Cup on Tuesday, 27 October 2026: the model makes Nieciecza marginally ahead at 42%, with the draw at 24% and Olimpia Grudziądz at 34%.

Expected goals are 1.38 for Olimpia Grudziądz and 1.56 for Nieciecza, a total of 2.94, which puts over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 60%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is olimpia Grudziądz or Nieciecza (no draw) at 76%. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.27. That price implies 79%, 3 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Olimpia Grudziądz vs Nieciecza.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Olimpia Grudziądz vs Nieciecza

On the goal lines Olimpia Grudziądz vs Nieciecza reads 79% for over 1.5, 56% for over 2.5 and 34% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 44%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 56%, best priced 1.81 at 22Bet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 60%, built from Olimpia Grudziądz scoring in 75% of runs and Nieciecza in 79%; clean sheets come at 21% for Olimpia Grudziądz and 25% for Nieciecza.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.4%, followed by 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-1 (8.2%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Nieciecza, full-time Nieciecza leads at 25%. A goal before the break is rated 73%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Olimpia Grudziądz vs Nieciecza

The grid built from 1.38 and 1.56 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Olimpia Grudziądz to win34%2.85
Draw24%3.65
Nieciecza to win42%2.58
Olimpia Grudziądz, draw no bet45%fair 2.25
Nieciecza, draw no bet56%fair 1.80

Double chance

Olimpia Grudziądz or draw58%1.56
Nieciecza or draw66%1.48
Olimpia Grudziądz or Nieciecza (no draw)76%1.27

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals79%fair 1.26
Over 2.5 goals56%1.81
Over 3.5 goals34%fair 2.95
Over 4.5 goals18%fair 5.71
Under 1.5 goals21%fair 4.81
Under 2.5 goals44%2.04
Under 3.5 goals66%fair 1.51

BTTS

Both teams to score60%1.62
Not both teams to score40%2.21

Halves

First-half goal73%fair 1.36
Over 1.5 first-half goals38%fair 2.62
Second-half goal80%fair 1.25

Team goals

Olimpia Grudziądz to score75%fair 1.34
Nieciecza to score79%fair 1.27
Olimpia Grudziądz clean sheet21%fair 4.76
Nieciecza clean sheet25%fair 3.97
Olimpia Grudziądz to win to nil19%fair 5.18
Nieciecza to win to nil23%fair 4.33

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-111.4%
1-28.9%
0-18.2%
2-17.9%
1-07.3%
0-26.4%

Half-time / full-time

Nieciecza / Nieciecza25.1%
Olimpia Grudziądz / Olimpia Grudziądz19.8%
Draw / Nieciecza14%
Draw / Draw13.9%
Draw / Olimpia Grudziądz11.7%

Questions about Olimpia Grudziądz vs Nieciecza

Who is favourite in Olimpia Grudziądz vs Nieciecza?

The model gives Nieciecza the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 24%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What is the correct score prediction for Olimpia Grudziądz vs Nieciecza?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 56% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Olimpia Grudziądz vs Nieciecza?

The BTTS yes line is rated 60%. Olimpia Grudziądz find the net in 75% of simulated matches and Nieciecza in 79%.

What time does Olimpia Grudziądz vs Nieciecza kick off?

Olimpia Grudziądz vs Nieciecza starts at 11:30 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Olimpia Grudziądz v NiecieczaOlimpia Grudziądz or Nieciecza (no draw), 76%
1.27Bet