Olimpia GrudziądzHomeL
NiecieczaAwayDWLWD
Olimpia GrudziądzHomeL
NiecieczaAwayDWLWD| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.85 | 3.44 | 2.14 | 1.70 | 1.99 | 1.58 | 2.19 | Bet | |
| 2.53 | 3.50 | 2.58 | 1.81 | 2.00 | 1.62 | 2.21 | Bet | |
| 2.42 | 3.65 | 2.42 | 1.71 | 2.04 | 1.58 | 2.16 | Bet | |
| 2.53 | 3.50 | 2.58 | 1.81 | 2.00 | 1.62 | 2.21 | Bet | |
| 2.53 | 3.50 | 2.58 | 1.81 | 2.00 | 1.62 | 2.21 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
1xBet pay the best Olimpia Grudziądz price at 2.85, BC.Game lead the draw at 3.65 and Melbet have Nieciecza longest at 2.58.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 98.7%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.81 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.04 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.62 (Melbet) and no 2.21 (Melbet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
Our prediction
Olimpia Grudziądz vs Nieciecza prediction for the Poland Cup on Tuesday, 27 October 2026: the model makes Nieciecza marginally ahead at 42%, with the draw at 24% and Olimpia Grudziądz at 34%.
Expected goals are 1.38 for Olimpia Grudziądz and 1.56 for Nieciecza, a total of 2.94, which puts over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 60%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is olimpia Grudziądz or Nieciecza (no draw) at 76%. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.27. That price implies 79%, 3 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Olimpia Grudziądz vs Nieciecza.
On the goal lines Olimpia Grudziądz vs Nieciecza reads 79% for over 1.5, 56% for over 2.5 and 34% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 44%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 56%, best priced 1.81 at 22Bet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 60%, built from Olimpia Grudziądz scoring in 75% of runs and Nieciecza in 79%; clean sheets come at 21% for Olimpia Grudziądz and 25% for Nieciecza.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.4%, followed by 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-1 (8.2%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Nieciecza, full-time Nieciecza leads at 25%. A goal before the break is rated 73%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
The grid built from 1.38 and 1.56 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives Nieciecza the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 24%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 56% backs the same picture with less variance.
The BTTS yes line is rated 60%. Olimpia Grudziądz find the net in 75% of simulated matches and Nieciecza in 79%.
Olimpia Grudziądz vs Nieciecza starts at 11:30 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.