Motor Lublin vs Raków Częstochowa prediction

Motor Lublin vs Raków Częstochowa prediction, who wins and at what price

The Motor Lublin vs Raków Częstochowa prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Poland Cup on Tuesday, 27 October 2026 gives Motor Lublin a 39% chance, Raków Częstochowa 34% and the draw 27%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.

Expected goals are 1.55 for Motor Lublin and 1.44 for Raków Częstochowa, a total of 2.99, which puts over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 62%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is motor Lublin or Raków Częstochowa (no draw) at 73%. The best price in our comparison is 1.27 at Betwinner, which implies 79%, so the model sits 6 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Motor Lublin average 2.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last 5, Raków Częstochowa 1.4 and 2.2 across 5.

How many goals in Motor Lublin vs Raków Częstochowa? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 80%, over 2.5 at 57%, over 3.5 at 35%; under 2.5 is 43% and under 3.5 is 65%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 57%, best priced 1.66 at BC.Game.

The chance of both teams scoring is 62%, built from Motor Lublin scoring in 79% of runs and Raków Częstochowa in 76%; clean sheets come at 24% for Motor Lublin and 21% for Raków Częstochowa.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.2%, then 2-1 at 8.7% and 1-2 at 8.1%.

With the top scoreline at 11.2%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Motor Lublin vs Raków Częstochowa; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Motor Lublin, full-time Motor Lublin is the top combination at 24%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.