Skip to the predictions
Live 12 UTC
I Liga Round 12 Saturday, 24 October 2026 FT
Puszcza NiepołomiceHomeLWLWL
2:1Half-time 0:0
Lechia GdanskAwayWWLLW
332542
Puszcza Niepołomice winDrawLechia Gdansk win
Kick-off
Sat 24 Oct
Expected goals
3.12
1.47 : 1.65
Favourite
41%
Lechia Gdansk
Over 2.5 goals
60%
model chance
Both teams to score
63%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Best odds for Puszcza Niepołomice vs Lechia Gdansk

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.753.482.201.572.201.482.45Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

Ad

Lechia Gdansk to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Puszcza Niepołomice vs Lechia Gdansk prediction: Puszcza Niepołomice 2.75 (1xBet), draw 3.48 (1xBet), Lechia Gdansk 2.20 (1xBet).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.57 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.20 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.48 (1xBet) and no 2.45 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

75%

Our prediction

Puszcza Niepołomice or Lechia Gdansk (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.47 : 1.65-9% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
60% chance1.57
BTTSBoth teams to score
63% chance1.48
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
82% chance1.22fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.35fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Lechia Gdansk, full-time Lechia Gdansk
26% chance3.92fair
First halfFirst-half goal
75% chance1.33fair

Puszcza Niepołomice vs Lechia Gdansk prediction

Puszcza Niepołomice vs Lechia Gdansk prediction and best bet

Puszcza Niepołomice vs Lechia Gdansk prediction for the I Liga on Saturday, 24 October 2026: the model makes Lechia Gdansk marginally ahead at 41%, with the draw at 25% and Puszcza Niepołomice at 33%.

The goal expectancy is 3.12 in total, split 1.47 to Puszcza Niepołomice and 1.65 to Lechia Gdansk. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 60% and both teams to score 63%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for Puszcza Niepołomice vs Lechia Gdansk is puszcza Niepołomice or Lechia Gdansk (no draw), a 75% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.22. That price implies 82%, 7 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Puszcza Niepołomice vs Lechia Gdansk.

Puszcza Niepołomice average 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last 5, Lechia Gdansk 1.6 and 2.4 across 5.

How many goals in Puszcza Niepołomice vs Lechia Gdansk? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 82%, over 2.5 at 60%, over 3.5 at 38%; under 2.5 is 40% and under 3.5 is 62%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 60%; 1xBet pay 1.57.

The chance of both teams scoring is 63%, built from Puszcza Niepołomice scoring in 77% of runs and Lechia Gdansk in 81%; clean sheets come at 19% for Puszcza Niepołomice and 23% for Lechia Gdansk.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 63%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10.7%, then 1-2 at 8.8% and 2-1 at 7.9%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.7% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Lechia Gdansk, full-time Lechia Gdansk leads at 26%. A goal before the break is rated 75%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Puszcza Niepołomice vs Lechia Gdansk

The grid built from 1.47 and 1.65 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Puszcza Niepołomice to win33%2.75
Draw25%3.48
Lechia Gdansk to win41%2.20
Puszcza Niepołomice, draw no bet45%fair 2.24
Lechia Gdansk, draw no bet55%fair 1.81

Double chance

Puszcza Niepołomice or draw59%1.54
Lechia Gdansk or draw67%1.35
Puszcza Niepołomice or Lechia Gdansk (no draw)75%1.22

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals82%fair 1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.57
Over 3.5 goals38%fair 2.63
Over 4.5 goals21%fair 4.88
Under 1.5 goals18%fair 5.49
Under 2.5 goals40%2.20
Under 3.5 goals62%fair 1.61

BTTS

Both teams to score63%1.48
Not both teams to score37%2.45

Halves

First-half goal75%fair 1.33
Over 1.5 first-half goals41%fair 2.44
Second-half goal82%fair 1.22

Team goals

Puszcza Niepołomice to score77%fair 1.30
Lechia Gdansk to score81%fair 1.24
Puszcza Niepołomice clean sheet19%fair 5.21
Lechia Gdansk clean sheet23%fair 4.35
Puszcza Niepołomice to win to nil18%fair 5.65
Lechia Gdansk to win to nil21%fair 4.72

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-110.7%
1-28.8%
2-17.9%
0-17.3%
2-26.5%
1-06.5%

Half-time / full-time

Lechia Gdansk / Lechia Gdansk25.5%
Puszcza Niepołomice / Puszcza Niepołomice20.2%
Draw / Lechia Gdansk13.7%
Draw / Draw12.9%
Draw / Puszcza Niepołomice11.6%

Questions about Puszcza Niepołomice vs Lechia Gdansk

Who will win Puszcza Niepołomice vs Lechia Gdansk?

The model gives Lechia Gdansk the best chance at 41%, with the draw at 25%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

Puszcza Niepołomice vs Lechia Gdansk correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 60% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Puszcza Niepołomice vs Lechia Gdansk?

The BTTS yes line is rated 63%. Puszcza Niepołomice find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Lechia Gdansk in 81%.

What time does Puszcza Niepołomice vs Lechia Gdansk kick off?

Puszcza Niepołomice vs Lechia Gdansk starts at 15:45 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Puszcza Niepołomice v Lechia GdanskPuszcza Niepołomice or Lechia Gdansk (no draw), 75%
1.22Bet