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Live 17 UTC
Poland Cup Round of 32 Tuesday, 27 October 2026 Pens
Piast GliwiceHomeWDWDD
0:0Half-time 0:0Penalties 1:3
Gornik ZabrzeAwayWDDDD
282646
Piast Gliwice winDrawGornik Zabrze win
Kick-off
Tue 27 Oct
Expected goals
2.80
1.21 : 1.59
Favourite
45%
Gornik Zabrze
Over 2.5 goals
53%
model chance
Both teams to score
57%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Best odds for Piast Gliwice vs Gornik Zabrze

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet3.443.361.921.741.941.622.12Bet
22Bet4.053.901.771.812.001.742.02Bet
BC.Game4.903.551.641.732.021.662.02Bet
Betwinner4.053.901.771.812.001.742.02Bet
Melbet4.053.901.771.812.001.742.02Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Gornik Zabrze to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Piast Gliwice vs Gornik Zabrze prediction: Piast Gliwice 4.90 (BC.Game), draw 3.90 (22Bet), Gornik Zabrze 1.92 (1xBet).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 101.9%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.81 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 2.02 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.74 (Melbet) and no 2.12 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

74%

Our prediction

Piast Gliwice or Gornik Zabrze (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.21 : 1.59-9.5% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
53% chance1.81
BTTSBoth teams to score
57% chance1.74
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
77% chance1.30fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.55fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Gornik Zabrze, full-time Gornik Zabrze
28% chance3.56fair
First halfFirst-half goal
72% chance1.40fair

Piast Gliwice v Gornik Zabrze head to head

0Piast Gliwice wins
1Draw
0Gornik Zabrze wins
  • 18 Oct 26Gornik Zabrze1:1Piast Gliwice

1 meeting since coverage began, 2 goals in total: Piast Gliwice scored 1, Gornik Zabrze scored 1.

Piast Gliwice vs Gornik Zabrze prediction

Piast Gliwice vs Gornik Zabrze prediction, who wins and at what price

Gornik Zabrze are marginally ahead in the Piast Gliwice vs Gornik Zabrze prediction, rated 45% to win this Poland Cup match on Tuesday, 27 October 2026. Piast Gliwice sit at 28% and the draw at 26%.

The goal expectancy is 2.80 in total, split 1.21 to Piast Gliwice and 1.59 to Gornik Zabrze. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 53% and both teams to score 57%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is piast Gliwice or Gornik Zabrze (no draw) at 74%. The best price in our comparison is 1.23 at 1xBet, which implies 81%, so the model sits 8 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Form check: Piast Gliwice have won 2 of their last 5 with 8 scored and 5 conceded, Gornik Zabrze 1 of 5 scoring 5 and conceding 3.

Piast Gliwice vs Gornik Zabrze goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Under 2.5 goals is rated 47% and under 3.5 69%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 77% and over 2.5 at 53%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; Betwinner pay 1.81.

BTTS yes stands at 57%. Piast Gliwice score in 70% of simulations against a 30% clean sheet for Gornik Zabrze; Gornik Zabrze score in 80% while Piast Gliwice shut them out 20% of the time.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.7%, followed by 0-1 (9.7%) and 1-2 (9.3%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Gornik Zabrze, full-time Gornik Zabrze is the top combination at 28%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 72%.

Every market for Piast Gliwice vs Gornik Zabrze

The grid built from 1.21 and 1.59 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Piast Gliwice to win28%4.90
Draw26%3.90
Gornik Zabrze to win45%1.92
Piast Gliwice, draw no bet38%fair 2.61
Gornik Zabrze, draw no bet62%fair 1.62

Double chance

Piast Gliwice or draw55%2.06
Gornik Zabrze or draw72%1.22
Piast Gliwice or Gornik Zabrze (no draw)74%1.23

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals77%fair 1.30
Over 2.5 goals53%1.81
Over 3.5 goals31%fair 3.25
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.58
Under 1.5 goals23%fair 4.33
Under 2.5 goals47%2.02
Under 3.5 goals69%fair 1.45

BTTS

Both teams to score57%1.74
Not both teams to score44%2.12

Halves

First-half goal72%fair 1.40
Over 1.5 first-half goals36%fair 2.79
Second-half goal79%fair 1.27

Team goals

Piast Gliwice to score70%fair 1.42
Gornik Zabrze to score80%fair 1.26
Piast Gliwice clean sheet20%fair 4.90
Gornik Zabrze clean sheet30%fair 3.36
Piast Gliwice to win to nil19%fair 5.32
Gornik Zabrze to win to nil27%fair 3.65

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-111.7%
0-19.7%
1-29.3%
0-27.7%
1-07.4%
2-17.1%

Half-time / full-time

Gornik Zabrze / Gornik Zabrze28.1%
Piast Gliwice / Piast Gliwice16.6%
Draw / Gornik Zabrze15.5%
Draw / Draw14.5%
Draw / Piast Gliwice10.5%

Questions about Piast Gliwice vs Gornik Zabrze

Who will win Piast Gliwice vs Gornik Zabrze?

The model gives Gornik Zabrze the best chance at 45%, with the draw at 26%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What scoreline is most likely in Piast Gliwice vs Gornik Zabrze?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 53%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Piast Gliwice vs Gornik Zabrze?

The BTTS yes line is rated 57%. Piast Gliwice find the net in 70% of simulated matches and Gornik Zabrze in 80%.

What time does Piast Gliwice vs Gornik Zabrze kick off?

Piast Gliwice vs Gornik Zabrze starts at 19:30 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Piast Gliwice v Gornik ZabrzePiast Gliwice or Gornik Zabrze (no draw), 74%
1.23Bet