Wieczysta Kraków vs Jagiellonia prediction

Wieczysta Kraków vs Jagiellonia prediction and best bet

The Wieczysta Kraków vs Jagiellonia prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Ekstraklasa on Saturday, 31 October 2026 gives Wieczysta Kraków a 40% chance, Jagiellonia 36% and the draw 24%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.

Expected goals are 1.70 for Wieczysta Kraków and 1.59 for Jagiellonia, a total of 3.29, which puts over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score at 67%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Wieczysta Kraków or Jagiellonia (no draw) is the main selection, rated 76%. The best price in our comparison is 1.30 at Melbet, which implies 77%, so the model sits 1 points below the market.

Form check: Wieczysta Kraków have won 1 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 9 conceded, Jagiellonia 3 of 5 scoring 10 and conceding 5.

Goals forecast for Wieczysta Kraków vs Jagiellonia with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines Wieczysta Kraków vs Jagiellonia reads 84% for over 1.5, 64% for over 2.5 and 42% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 36%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 64%, best priced 1.54 at Melbet.

Both teams to score is 67%: Wieczysta Kraków find the net in 82% of simulated matches and Jagiellonia in 80%. Wieczysta Kraków keep a clean sheet 20% of the time and Jagiellonia 18%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 67%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.1%, followed by 2-1 (8.6%) and 1-2 (8%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Wieczysta Kraków, full-time Wieczysta Kraków leads at 25%. A goal before the break is rated 77%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.