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Live 5 UTC
Europa League Matchday 3 Thursday, 22 October 2026 FT
JagielloniaHomeLLWWW
0:3Half-time 0:1
AnderlechtAwayLLWLW
312742
Jagiellonia winDrawAnderlecht win
Kick-off
Thu 22 Oct
Expected goals
2.87
1.31 : 1.56
Favourite
42%
Anderlecht
Over 2.5 goals
54%
model chance
Both teams to score
59%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet3.123.672.281.792.121.602.22Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Anderlecht to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht prediction: Jagiellonia 3.12 (1xBet), draw 3.67 (1xBet), Anderlecht 2.28 (1xBet).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 96.9%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.79 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.12 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.60 (1xBet) and no 2.22 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

73%

Our prediction

Jagiellonia or Anderlecht (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.31 : 1.56-3.4% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
54% chance1.79
BTTSBoth teams to score
59% chance1.60
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
78% chance1.28fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.62fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Anderlecht, full-time Anderlecht
26% chance3.83fair
First halfFirst-half goal
73% chance1.38fair

Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht prediction

Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht prediction, who wins and at what price

Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht prediction for the Europa League on Thursday, 22 October 2026: the model makes Anderlecht marginally ahead at 42%, with the draw at 27% and Jagiellonia at 31%.

Jagiellonia are expected to score 1.31 and Anderlecht 1.56, so the total line is 2.87 goals; over 2.5 lands at 54% and BTTS at 59%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is jagiellonia or Anderlecht (no draw) at 73%. At 1.32 with 1xBet the market prices it at 76%, against 73% from the model.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht.

Form check: Jagiellonia have won 3 of their last 5 with 10 scored and 5 conceded, Anderlecht 2 of 5 scoring 8 and conceding 8.

How many goals in Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 78%, over 2.5 at 54%, over 3.5 at 32%; under 2.5 is 46% and under 3.5 is 68%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 54%; 1xBet pay 1.79.

BTTS yes stands at 59%. Jagiellonia score in 73% of simulations against a 27% clean sheet for Anderlecht; Anderlecht score in 79% while Jagiellonia shut them out 21% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.6%, followed by 1-2 (9%) and 0-1 (8.8%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Anderlecht, full-time Anderlecht leads at 26%. A goal before the break is rated 73%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market rated for Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht

The grid built from 1.31 and 1.56 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Jagiellonia to win31%3.12
Draw27%3.67
Anderlecht to win42%2.28
Jagiellonia, draw no bet42%fair 2.37
Anderlecht, draw no bet58%fair 1.73

Double chance

Jagiellonia or draw58%1.69
Anderlecht or draw69%1.41
Jagiellonia or Anderlecht (no draw)73%1.32

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals78%fair 1.28
Over 2.5 goals54%1.79
Over 3.5 goals32%fair 3.09
Over 4.5 goals16%fair 6.13
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.57
Under 2.5 goals46%2.12
Under 3.5 goals68%fair 1.48

BTTS

Both teams to score59%1.60
Not both teams to score41%2.22

Halves

First-half goal73%fair 1.38
Over 1.5 first-half goals37%fair 2.70
Second-half goal79%fair 1.26

Team goals

Jagiellonia to score73%fair 1.37
Anderlecht to score79%fair 1.27
Jagiellonia clean sheet21%fair 4.76
Anderlecht clean sheet27%fair 3.70
Jagiellonia to win to nil19%fair 5.18
Anderlecht to win to nil25%fair 4.03

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-111.6%
1-29%
0-18.8%
2-17.6%
1-07.4%
0-26.9%

Half-time / full-time

Anderlecht / Anderlecht26.1%
Jagiellonia / Jagiellonia18.6%
Draw / Anderlecht14.5%
Draw / Draw14.2%
Draw / Jagiellonia11.3%

Questions about Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht

Who will win Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht?

The model gives Anderlecht the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 27%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What scoreline is most likely in Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.6%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 54% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht?

The BTTS yes line is rated 59%. Jagiellonia find the net in 73% of simulated matches and Anderlecht in 79%.

When is Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht and where is the result shown?

Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht starts at 19:00 UTC on Thursday, 22 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Jagiellonia v AnderlechtJagiellonia or Anderlecht (no draw), 73%
1.32Bet