Telstar vs Almere City FC prediction

Telstar vs Almere City FC prediction, who wins and at what price

Telstar vs Almere City FC prediction for the KNVB Beker on Tuesday, 27 October 2026: the model makes Telstar marginally ahead at 46%, with the draw at 24% and Almere City FC at 31%.

Expected goals are 1.94 for Telstar and 1.56 for Almere City FC, a total of 3.50, which puts over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams to score at 69%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Telstar or Almere City FC (no draw) is the main selection, rated 77%. At 1.24 with 1xBet the market prices it at 81%, against 77% from the model.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Telstar vs Almere City FC.

Form check: Telstar have won 1 of their last 5 with 11 scored and 13 conceded, Almere City FC 3 of 5 scoring 10 and conceding 6.

Telstar vs Almere City FC over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 86%, over 2.5 at 68%, over 3.5 at 46%; under 2.5 is 33% and under 3.5 is 54%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 68%, best priced 1.39 at 1xBet.

BTTS yes stands at 69%. Telstar score in 86% of simulations against a 14% clean sheet for Almere City FC; Almere City FC score in 79% while Telstar shut them out 21% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 69%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 9.1%, then 2-1 at 8.9% and 1-2 at 7.1%.

With the top scoreline at 9.1%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Telstar vs Almere City FC; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Telstar, full-time Telstar leads at 29%. A goal before the break is rated 79%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.