Barendrecht vs Waalwijk prediction

Barendrecht vs Waalwijk prediction, who wins and at what price

The Barendrecht vs Waalwijk prediction leans to Waalwijk: 72% against 12% for Barendrecht, with 16% left for the draw, in the KNVB Beker on Tuesday, 27 October 2026.

Expected goals are 0.96 for Barendrecht and 2.57 for Waalwijk, a total of 3.53, which puts over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams to score at 57%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for Barendrecht vs Waalwijk is waalwijk to win, a 72% chance. At 1.56 with Melbet the market prices it at 64%, against 72% from the model.

That gap is worth 11.5% on a flat stake, which makes the pick a value bet as well as a probable outcome.

For a safer line, waalwijk or draw covers 88% of outcomes at 1.14.

The draw sits at only 16%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Barendrecht vs Waalwijk over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Under 2.5 goals is rated 32% and under 3.5 53%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 87% and over 2.5 at 68%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 68%; 22Bet pay 1.50.

BTTS yes stands at 57%. Barendrecht score in 62% of simulations against a 38% clean sheet for Waalwijk; Waalwijk score in 92% while Barendrecht shut them out 8% of the time.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Barendrecht vs Waalwijk: 0-2 (9.7%), 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-3 (8.3%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Waalwijk, full-time Waalwijk is the top combination at 50%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 80%.