KNVB Beker
RodaHomeDWWWW
1:0Half-time 0:0
De GraafschapAwayWLDLW432631
Roda winDrawDe Graafschap win
RodaHomeDWWWWDe GraafschapAwayWLDLW- Kick-off Tue 27 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.98 1.63 : 1.35
- Favourite
- 43% Roda
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 62% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Roda vs De Graafschap odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.09 | 3.40 | 3.26 | 1.60 | 2.08 | 1.53 | 2.35 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.86 | 3.82 | 3.71 | 1.54 | 2.38 | 1.54 | 2.38 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.75 | 3.85 | 3.90 | 1.56 | 2.32 | 1.53 | 2.28 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.86 | 3.82 | 3.71 | 1.54 | 2.38 | 1.54 | 2.38 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.86 | 3.82 | 3.71 | 1.54 | 2.38 | 1.54 | 2.38 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Roda to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Roda price at 2.09, BC.Game lead the draw at 3.85 and BC.Game have De Graafschap longest at 3.90.
The best-price payout across the three results is 100.5%, several points better than any single book offers here.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.60 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.38 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.54 (Melbet) and no 2.38 (Melbet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
74%
Our prediction
Roda or De Graafschap (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
57% chance1.60
BTTSBoth teams to score
62% chance1.54
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.25fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance8.93fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Roda, full-time Roda
27% chance3.73fair
First halfFirst-half goal
74% chance1.36fair
Roda vs De Graafschap prediction
Our Roda vs De Graafschap prediction and pick
Roda are marginally ahead in the Roda vs De Graafschap prediction, rated 43% to win this KNVB Beker match on Tuesday, 27 October 2026. De Graafschap sit at 31% and the draw at 26%.
Roda are expected to score 1.63 and De Graafschap 1.35, so the total line is 2.98 goals; over 2.5 lands at 57% and BTTS at 62%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is roda or De Graafschap (no draw) at 74%. At 1.27 with 1xBet the market prices it at 79%, against 74% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Over the last 5 matches Roda stand at 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats; De Graafschap show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
Roda vs De Graafschap goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
On the goal lines Roda vs De Graafschap reads 80% for over 1.5, 57% for over 2.5 and 35% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 43%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 57%, best priced 1.60 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 62%, built from Roda scoring in 80% of runs and De Graafschap in 74%; clean sheets come at 26% for Roda and 20% for De Graafschap.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.2%, followed by 2-1 (9.1%) and 1-0 (8.3%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.2% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Roda, full-time Roda is the top combination at 27%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.
Every market rated for Roda vs De Graafschap
The grid built from 1.63 and 1.35 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Roda to win43%2.09
Draw26%3.85
De Graafschap to win31%3.90
Roda, draw no bet58%fair 1.71
De Graafschap, draw no bet42%fair 2.40
Double chance
Roda or draw69%1.29
De Graafschap or draw57%1.94
Roda or De Graafschap (no draw)74%1.27
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.25
Over 2.5 goals57%1.60
Over 3.5 goals35%fair 2.87
Over 4.5 goals18%fair 5.52
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 4.95
Under 2.5 goals43%2.38
Under 3.5 goals65%fair 1.53
BTTS
Both teams to score62%1.54
Not both teams to score38%2.38
Halves
First-half goal74%fair 1.36
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.58
Second-half goal81%fair 1.24
Team goals
Roda to score80%fair 1.24
De Graafschap to score74%fair 1.35
Roda clean sheet26%fair 3.86
De Graafschap clean sheet20%fair 5.10
Roda to win to nil24%fair 4.18
De Graafschap to win to nil18%fair 5.56
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-111.2%
2-19.1%
1-08.3%
1-27.5%
0-16.9%
2-06.7%
Half-time / full-time
Roda / Roda26.8%
De Graafschap / De Graafschap18.5%
Draw / Roda14.5%
Draw / Draw13.6%
Draw / De Graafschap11.1%
Questions about Roda vs De Graafschap
Who will win Roda vs De Graafschap?
The model gives Roda the best chance at 43%, with the draw at 26%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Roda vs De Graafschap?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 57%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Roda vs De Graafschap?
The BTTS yes line is rated 62%. Roda find the net in 80% of simulated matches and De Graafschap in 74%.
What time does Roda vs De Graafschap kick off?
Kick-off is 19:00 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.