FKF Premier League
ShabanaHomeWDDD
0:0Half-time 0:0
Nairobi UnitedAwayDDDLD313534
Shabana winDrawNairobi United win
ShabanaHomeWDDDNairobi UnitedAwayDDDLD- Kick-off Sun 18 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.04 1.00 : 1.04
- Favourite
- 34% Nairobi United
- Over 2.5 goals
- 33% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 44% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Shabana vs Nairobi United betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.69 | 2.69 | 2.65 | 2.46 | 1.43 | 2.03 | 1.67 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Nairobi United to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Shabana vs Nairobi United are 2.69 for Shabana at 1xBet, 2.69 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.65 for Nairobi United at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 89.2%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.46 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.43 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.03 (1xBet) and no 1.67 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
69%
Our prediction
Nairobi United or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
67% chance1.43
BTTSNot both teams to score
56% chance1.67
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
61% chance1.65fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
14% chance7.41fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
21% chance4.69fair
First halfFirst-half goal
60% chance1.66fair
Shabana vs Nairobi United prediction
Our Shabana vs Nairobi United prediction and pick
Nothing separates the sides in the Shabana vs Nairobi United prediction for Sunday, 18 October 2026: 31% home, 35% draw and 34% away in the FKF Premier League. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
Shabana are expected to score 1.00 and Nairobi United 1.04, so the total line is 2.04 goals; over 2.5 lands at 33% and BTTS at 44%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for Shabana vs Nairobi United is nairobi United or draw, a 69% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.33 at 1xBet, which implies 75%, so the model sits 7 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Shabana vs Nairobi United.
A 35% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.
Shabana average 0.5 goals scored and 0.2 conceded across their last 4, Nairobi United 1.2 and 1.4 across 5.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Shabana vs Nairobi United
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 61%, over 2.5 at 33%, over 3.5 at 15%; under 2.5 is 67% and under 3.5 is 85%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 67%; 1xBet pay 1.43.
Both teams to score is 44%: Shabana find the net in 63% of simulated matches and Nairobi United in 65%. Shabana keep a clean sheet 35% of the time and Nairobi United 37%.
The most likely scoreline is 0-1 at 13.5%, followed by 1-1 (13.5%) and 0-0 (13%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 13.5% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Draw, full-time Draw is the top combination at 21%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 60%.
Every market for Shabana vs Nairobi United
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Shabana vs Nairobi United, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Shabana to win31%2.69
Draw35%2.69
Nairobi United to win34%2.65
Shabana, draw no bet48%fair 2.07
Nairobi United, draw no bet52%fair 1.93
Double chance
Shabana or draw66%1.35
Nairobi United or draw69%1.33
Shabana or Nairobi United (no draw)65%1.33
Goals
Over 0.5 goals87%fair 1.15
Over 1.5 goals61%fair 1.65
Over 2.5 goals33%2.46
Over 3.5 goals15%fair 6.67
Over 4.5 goals6%fair 17.86
Under 1.5 goals40%fair 2.53
Under 2.5 goals67%1.43
Under 3.5 goals85%fair 1.18
BTTS
Both teams to score44%2.03
Not both teams to score56%1.67
Halves
First-half goal60%fair 1.66
Over 1.5 first-half goals23%fair 4.27
Second-half goal67%fair 1.48
Team goals
Shabana to score63%fair 1.58
Nairobi United to score65%fair 1.55
Shabana clean sheet35%fair 2.83
Nairobi United clean sheet37%fair 2.72
Shabana to win to nil29%fair 3.46
Nairobi United to win to nil31%fair 3.24
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.03
Even number of goals51%fair 1.97
Most likely scores
0-113.5%
1-113.5%
0-013%
1-013%
0-27%
1-27%
Half-time / full-time
Draw / Draw21.3%
Nairobi United / Nairobi United20.2%
Shabana / Shabana18.9%
Draw / Nairobi United14.1%
Draw / Shabana13.4%
Questions about Shabana vs Nairobi United
Who will win Shabana vs Nairobi United?
The model gives Nairobi United the best chance at 34%, with the draw at 35%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Shabana vs Nairobi United correct score: what does the model say?
0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 33% backs the same picture with less variance.
Shabana vs Nairobi United both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 44%. Shabana find the net in 63% of simulated matches and Nairobi United in 65%.
When do Shabana play Nairobi United?
Shabana vs Nairobi United starts at 12:00 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.