Yokohama F. Marinos vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima prediction

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima prediction, who wins and at what price

Yokohama F. Marinos host Sanfrecce Hiroshima on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 in the J-League Cup, and the model has Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 67%, the draw at 19% and Yokohama F. Marinos at 14%: that is the Yokohama F. Marinos vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima prediction in one line.

Expected goals are 0.94 for Yokohama F. Marinos and 2.27 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima, a total of 3.21, which puts over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 55%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima is sanfrecce Hiroshima to win, a 67% chance. At 1.52 with 22Bet the market prices it at 66%, against 67% from the model.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 86% chance, priced 1.14.

With the draw down at 19%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Yokohama F. Marinos average 2.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last 5, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.6 and 1.6 across 5.

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 83%, over 2.5 at 62%, over 3.5 at 40%; under 2.5 is 38% and under 3.5 is 60%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 62%, best priced 1.57 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 55%, built from Yokohama F. Marinos scoring in 61% of runs and Sanfrecce Hiroshima in 90%; clean sheets come at 10% for Yokohama F. Marinos and 39% for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Correct score: 0-2 leads at 10.4%, then 1-2 at 9.8% and 0-1 at 9.2%.

With the top scoreline at 10.4%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Sanfrecce Hiroshima, full-time Sanfrecce Hiroshima is the top combination at 45%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 76%.