J1 League
UrawaHomeWWWWL
1:0Half-time 0:0
V-varen NagasakiAwayDLWLL582319
Urawa winDrawV-varen Nagasaki win
UrawaHomeWWWWLV-varen NagasakiAwayDLWLL- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.92 1.90 : 1.02
- Favourite
- 58% Urawa
- Over 2.5 goals
- 56% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 55% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Urawa vs V-varen Nagasaki betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.64 | 4.08 | 5.18 | 1.79 | 2.05 | 1.76 | 1.96 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Urawa to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Urawa vs V-varen Nagasaki are 1.64 for Urawa at 1xBet, 4.08 for the draw at 1xBet and 5.18 for V-varen Nagasaki at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.79 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.05 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.76 (1xBet) and no 1.96 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
58%
Our prediction
Urawa to win
Double chanceUrawa or draw
80% chance1.17
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
56% chance1.79
BTTSBoth teams to score
55% chance1.76
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
79% chance1.27fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.52fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Urawa, full-time Urawa
37% chance2.71fair
Urawa vs V-varen Nagasaki prediction
Our Urawa vs V-varen Nagasaki prediction and pick
Urawa host V-varen Nagasaki on Sunday, 25 October 2026 in the J1 League, and the model has Urawa at 58%, the draw at 23% and V-varen Nagasaki at 20%: that is the Urawa vs V-varen Nagasaki prediction in one line.
The goal expectancy is 2.92 in total, split 1.90 to Urawa and 1.02 to V-varen Nagasaki. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 56% and both teams to score 55%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is urawa to win at 58%. The best price in our comparison is 1.64 at 1xBet, which implies 61%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Urawa or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 80% chance, priced 1.17.
Over the last 5 matches Urawa stand at 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; V-varen Nagasaki show 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats in 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Urawa vs V-varen Nagasaki
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 79%, over 2.5 at 56%, over 3.5 at 34%; under 2.5 is 44% and under 3.5 is 67%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 56%, best priced 1.79 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 55%: Urawa find the net in 85% of simulated matches and V-varen Nagasaki in 64%. Urawa keep a clean sheet 36% of the time and V-varen Nagasaki 15%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Urawa vs V-varen Nagasaki: 1-1 (10.5%), 1-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.9%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Urawa, full-time Urawa leads at 37%. A goal before the break is rated 73%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Urawa vs V-varen Nagasaki
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 58% / 23% / 20% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Urawa to win58%1.64
Draw23%4.08
V-varen Nagasaki to win20%5.18
Urawa, draw no bet75%fair 1.34
V-varen Nagasaki, draw no bet25%fair 3.94
Double chance
Urawa or draw80%1.17
V-varen Nagasaki or draw42%2.28
Urawa or V-varen Nagasaki (no draw)77%1.25
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals79%fair 1.27
Over 2.5 goals56%1.79
Over 3.5 goals34%fair 2.99
Over 4.5 goals17%fair 5.85
Under 1.5 goals21%fair 4.74
Under 2.5 goals44%2.05
Under 3.5 goals67%fair 1.50
BTTS
Both teams to score55%1.76
Not both teams to score45%1.96
Halves
First-half goal73%fair 1.37
Over 1.5 first-half goals38%fair 2.65
Second-half goal80%fair 1.25
Team goals
Urawa to score85%fair 1.18
V-varen Nagasaki to score64%fair 1.56
Urawa clean sheet36%fair 2.77
V-varen Nagasaki clean sheet15%fair 6.67
Urawa to win to nil33%fair 3.01
V-varen Nagasaki to win to nil14%fair 7.25
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.5%
1-010.2%
2-19.9%
2-09.7%
3-16.3%
3-06.2%
Half-time / full-time
Urawa / Urawa36.9%
Draw / Urawa18%
Draw / Draw13%
V-varen Nagasaki / V-varen Nagasaki11%
Draw / V-varen Nagasaki7.5%
Questions about Urawa vs V-varen Nagasaki
Who will win Urawa vs V-varen Nagasaki?
The model gives Urawa the best chance at 58%, with the draw at 23%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
Urawa vs V-varen Nagasaki correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 56%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Urawa vs V-varen Nagasaki both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 55%. Urawa find the net in 85% of simulated matches and V-varen Nagasaki in 64%.
When is Urawa vs V-varen Nagasaki and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 06:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.