J-League Cup
Nagoya GrampusHomeWDDLL
1:2Half-time 0:1
UrawaAwayWWWWL362737
Nagoya Grampus winDrawUrawa win
Nagoya GrampusHomeWDDLLUrawaAwayWWWWL- Kick-off Wed 28 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.95 1.45 : 1.50
- Favourite
- 38% Urawa
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 59% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Best odds for Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.50 | 3.48 | 2.51 | 1.70 | 2.06 | 1.57 | 2.26 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.55 | 3.32 | 2.66 | 1.97 | 1.83 | 1.74 | 2.02 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.58 | 3.30 | 2.68 | 1.86 | 1.86 | 1.68 | 2.06 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.55 | 3.32 | 2.66 | 1.97 | 1.83 | 1.74 | 2.02 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.55 | 3.34 | 2.54 | 1.79 | 1.94 | 1.62 | 2.16 | Bet |
 Stake | 2.55 | 3.25 | 2.55 | 1.79 | 1.85 | 1.64 | 2.05 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Urawa to win partner prices
BC.Game pay the best Nagoya Grampus price at 2.58, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.48 and BC.Game have Urawa longest at 2.68.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.97 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.06 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.74 (22Bet) and no 2.26 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
73%
Our prediction
Nagoya Grampus or Urawa (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
57% chance1.97
BTTSBoth teams to score
59% chance1.74
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
79% chance1.26fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance8.77fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Urawa, full-time Urawa
23% chance4.31fair
First halfFirst-half goal
74% chance1.36fair
Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa prediction
Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa prediction, who wins and at what price
Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa prediction for the J-League Cup on Wednesday, 28 October 2026: the model calls it close, Nagoya Grampus 36%, draw 27%, Urawa 38%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
Expected goals are 1.45 for Nagoya Grampus and 1.50 for Urawa, a total of 2.95, which puts over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 59%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is nagoya Grampus or Urawa (no draw) at 73%. BC.Game offer the top price at 1.31. That price implies 76%, 3 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa.
Over the last 5 matches Nagoya Grampus stand at 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Urawa show 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa
Under 2.5 goals is rated 43% and under 3.5 66%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 79% and over 2.5 at 57%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 57%; 22Bet pay 1.97.
Both teams to score is 59%: Nagoya Grampus find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Urawa in 78%. Nagoya Grampus keep a clean sheet 22% of the time and Urawa 24%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa: 1-1 (11.4%), 1-2 (8.5%) and 2-1 (8.3%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Urawa, full-time Urawa leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 74%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa
The grid built from 1.45 and 1.50 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Nagoya Grampus to win36%2.58
Draw27%3.48
Urawa to win38%2.68
Nagoya Grampus, draw no bet49%fair 2.06
Urawa, draw no bet51%fair 1.95
Double chance
Nagoya Grampus or draw62%1.45
Urawa or draw64%1.48
Nagoya Grampus or Urawa (no draw)73%1.31
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals79%fair 1.26
Over 2.5 goals57%1.97
Over 3.5 goals34%fair 2.92
Over 4.5 goals18%fair 5.68
Under 1.5 goals21%fair 4.83
Under 2.5 goals43%2.06
Under 3.5 goals66%fair 1.52
BTTS
Both teams to score59%1.74
Not both teams to score41%2.26
Halves
First-half goal74%fair 1.36
Over 1.5 first-half goals38%fair 2.61
Second-half goal80%fair 1.25
Team goals
Nagoya Grampus to score77%fair 1.31
Urawa to score78%fair 1.29
Nagoya Grampus clean sheet22%fair 4.48
Urawa clean sheet24%fair 4.26
Nagoya Grampus to win to nil21%fair 4.88
Urawa to win to nil22%fair 4.63
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-111.4%
1-28.5%
2-18.3%
0-17.9%
1-07.6%
2-26.2%
Half-time / full-time
Urawa / Urawa23.2%
Nagoya Grampus / Nagoya Grampus21.7%
Draw / Draw13.9%
Draw / Urawa13.2%
Draw / Nagoya Grampus12.5%
Questions about Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa
Who is favourite in Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa?
The model gives Urawa the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 27%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 57% backs the same picture with less variance.
Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 59%. Nagoya Grampus find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Urawa in 78%.
What time does Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa kick off?
Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa starts at 10:00 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.