J-League Cup
Mito HollyhockHomeLLLLL
1:3Half-time 0:1
Cerezo OsakaAwayLDDWL202357
Mito Hollyhock winDrawCerezo Osaka win
Mito HollyhockHomeLLLLLCerezo OsakaAwayLDDWL- Kick-off Wed 28 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.82 0.99 : 1.83
- Favourite
- 57% Cerezo Osaka
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 54% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 4.44 | 3.72 | 1.71 | 1.78 | 1.95 | 1.73 | 2.00 | Bet |
 22Bet | 4.30 | 3.99 | 1.70 | 1.81 | 2.00 | 1.74 | 2.02 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 4.90 | 3.85 | 1.67 | 1.73 | 2.00 | 1.76 | 1.96 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 4.30 | 3.99 | 1.70 | 1.89 | 1.91 | 1.82 | 1.93 | Bet |
 Melbet | 4.49 | 3.82 | 1.68 | 1.77 | 1.97 | 1.74 | 1.98 | Bet |
 Stake | 4.30 | 3.70 | 1.70 | 1.72 | 1.92 | 1.71 | 1.94 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Cerezo Osaka to win partner prices
BC.Game pay the best Mito Hollyhock price at 4.90, 22Bet lead the draw at 3.99 and 1xBet have Cerezo Osaka longest at 1.71.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 96.2%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.89 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 2.00 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.82 (Betwinner) and no 2.02 (22Bet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
57%
Our prediction
Cerezo Osaka to win
Double chanceCerezo Osaka or draw
80% chance1.19
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
53% chance1.89
BTTSBoth teams to score
54% chance1.82
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
77% chance1.30fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
11% chance9.17fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Cerezo Osaka, full-time Cerezo Osaka
36% chance2.77fair
Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka prediction
Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka prediction, who wins and at what price
The Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka prediction leans to Cerezo Osaka: 57% against 20% for Mito Hollyhock, with 23% left for the draw, in the J-League Cup on Wednesday, 28 October 2026.
Mito Hollyhock are expected to score 0.99 and Cerezo Osaka 1.83, so the total line is 2.82 goals; over 2.5 lands at 53% and BTTS at 54%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka is cerezo Osaka to win, a 57% chance. At 1.71 with 1xBet the market prices it at 58%, against 57% from the model.
For a safer line, cerezo Osaka or draw covers 80% of outcomes at 1.19.
Form check: Mito Hollyhock have won 0 of their last 5 with 1 scored and 15 conceded, Cerezo Osaka 1 of 5 scoring 9 and conceding 12.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 77%, over 2.5 at 53%, over 3.5 at 31%; under 2.5 is 47% and under 3.5 is 69%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 53%, best priced 1.89 at Betwinner.
BTTS yes stands at 54%. Mito Hollyhock score in 63% of simulations against a 37% clean sheet for Cerezo Osaka; Cerezo Osaka score in 84% while Mito Hollyhock shut them out 16% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka: 0-1 (10.9%), 1-1 (10.8%) and 0-2 (10%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Cerezo Osaka, full-time Cerezo Osaka leads at 36%. A goal before the break is rated 72%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 20% / 23% / 57% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Mito Hollyhock to win20%4.90
Draw23%3.99
Cerezo Osaka to win57%1.71
Mito Hollyhock, draw no bet26%fair 3.88
Cerezo Osaka, draw no bet74%fair 1.35
Double chance
Mito Hollyhock or draw43%2.16
Cerezo Osaka or draw80%1.19
Mito Hollyhock or Cerezo Osaka (no draw)77%1.25
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals77%fair 1.30
Over 2.5 goals53%1.89
Over 3.5 goals31%fair 3.21
Over 4.5 goals16%fair 6.45
Under 1.5 goals23%fair 4.39
Under 2.5 goals47%2.00
Under 3.5 goals69%fair 1.45
BTTS
Both teams to score54%1.82
Not both teams to score46%2.02
Halves
First-half goal72%fair 1.39
Over 1.5 first-half goals36%fair 2.76
Second-half goal79%fair 1.27
Team goals
Mito Hollyhock to score63%fair 1.59
Cerezo Osaka to score84%fair 1.19
Mito Hollyhock clean sheet16%fair 6.25
Cerezo Osaka clean sheet37%fair 2.69
Mito Hollyhock to win to nil15%fair 6.76
Cerezo Osaka to win to nil34%fair 2.92
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
0-110.9%
1-110.8%
0-210%
1-29.9%
0-36.1%
1-36%
Half-time / full-time
Cerezo Osaka / Cerezo Osaka36.1%
Draw / Cerezo Osaka18.1%
Draw / Draw13.6%
Mito Hollyhock / Mito Hollyhock11.1%
Draw / Mito Hollyhock7.7%
Questions about Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka
Who will win Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka?
The model gives Cerezo Osaka the best chance at 57%, with the draw at 23%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What scoreline is most likely in Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka?
0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 53% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka?
The BTTS yes line is rated 54%. Mito Hollyhock find the net in 63% of simulated matches and Cerezo Osaka in 84%.
When do Mito Hollyhock play Cerezo Osaka?
Kick-off is 10:00 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.