J1 League
Kashiwa ReysolHomeLDWDW
1:3Half-time 1:2
Nagoya GrampusAwayWDDLL582220
Kashiwa Reysol winDrawNagoya Grampus win
Kashiwa ReysolHomeLDWDWNagoya GrampusAwayWDDLL- Kick-off Sat 17 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.01 1.95 : 1.06
- Favourite
- 58% Kashiwa Reysol
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 58% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.64 | 4.30 | 4.87 | 1.59 | 2.38 | 1.59 | 2.21 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Kashiwa Reysol to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus are 1.64 for Kashiwa Reysol at 1xBet, 4.30 for the draw at 1xBet and 4.87 for Nagoya Grampus at 1xBet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 95.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.59 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.38 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.59 (1xBet) and no 2.21 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
58%
Our prediction
Kashiwa Reysol to win
Double chanceKashiwa Reysol or draw
81% chance1.19
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
57% chance1.59
BTTSBoth teams to score
58% chance1.59
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.25fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance9.80fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Kashiwa Reysol, full-time Kashiwa Reysol
37% chance2.70fair
Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus prediction
Our Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus prediction and pick
Kashiwa Reysol host Nagoya Grampus on Saturday, 17 October 2026 in the J1 League, and the model has Kashiwa Reysol at 58%, the draw at 22% and Nagoya Grampus at 20%: that is the Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus prediction in one line.
Kashiwa Reysol are expected to score 1.95 and Nagoya Grampus 1.06, so the total line is 3.01 goals; over 2.5 lands at 57% and BTTS at 58%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Kashiwa Reysol to win is the main selection, rated 58%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.64. That price implies 61%, 3 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Kashiwa Reysol or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 81% chance, priced 1.19.
Over the last 5 matches Kashiwa Reysol stand at 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Nagoya Grampus show 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 80%, over 2.5 at 57%, over 3.5 at 36%; under 2.5 is 43% and under 3.5 is 65%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 57%, best priced 1.59 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 58%, built from Kashiwa Reysol scoring in 86% of runs and Nagoya Grampus in 65%; clean sheets come at 35% for Kashiwa Reysol and 14% for Nagoya Grampus.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 58%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus: 1-1 (10.2%), 2-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.6%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Kashiwa Reysol, full-time Kashiwa Reysol leads at 37%. A goal before the break is rated 74%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Kashiwa Reysol to win58%1.64
Draw22%4.30
Nagoya Grampus to win20%4.87
Kashiwa Reysol, draw no bet75%fair 1.33
Nagoya Grampus, draw no bet25%fair 4.00
Double chance
Kashiwa Reysol or draw81%1.19
Nagoya Grampus or draw42%2.28
Kashiwa Reysol or Nagoya Grampus (no draw)78%1.23
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.25
Over 2.5 goals57%1.59
Over 3.5 goals36%fair 2.82
Over 4.5 goals19%fair 5.38
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 5.05
Under 2.5 goals43%2.38
Under 3.5 goals65%fair 1.55
BTTS
Both teams to score58%1.59
Not both teams to score42%2.21
Halves
First-half goal74%fair 1.35
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.55
Second-half goal81%fair 1.24
Team goals
Kashiwa Reysol to score86%fair 1.17
Nagoya Grampus to score65%fair 1.53
Kashiwa Reysol clean sheet35%fair 2.89
Nagoya Grampus clean sheet14%fair 7.04
Kashiwa Reysol to win to nil32%fair 3.13
Nagoya Grampus to win to nil13%fair 7.63
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.2%
2-19.9%
1-09.6%
2-09.4%
3-16.5%
3-06.1%
Half-time / full-time
Kashiwa Reysol / Kashiwa Reysol37.1%
Draw / Kashiwa Reysol17.8%
Draw / Draw12.5%
Nagoya Grampus / Nagoya Grampus11.2%
Draw / Nagoya Grampus7.5%
Questions about Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus
Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus?
The model gives Kashiwa Reysol the best chance at 58%, with the draw at 22%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 57%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus?
The BTTS yes line is rated 58%. Kashiwa Reysol find the net in 86% of simulated matches and Nagoya Grampus in 65%.
What time does Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus kick off?
Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus starts at 10:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.