Skip to the predictions
Live 11 UTC
Serie B Round 8 Saturday, 24 October 2026 FT
SudtirolHomeDLDLD
1:1Half-time 0:1
SampdoriaAwayLLDLW
353233
Sudtirol winDrawSampdoria win
Kick-off
Sat 24 Oct
Expected goals
2.48
1.26 : 1.22
Favourite
35%
Sudtirol
Over 2.5 goals
45%
model chance
Both teams to score
52%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Sudtirol vs Sampdoria betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.912.952.552.091.691.791.92Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

Ad

Sudtirol to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Sudtirol price at 2.91, 1xBet lead the draw at 2.95 and 1xBet have Sampdoria longest at 2.55.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 93%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.09 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.69 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.79 (1xBet) and no 1.92 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

68%

Our prediction

Sudtirol or Sampdoria (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.26 : 1.22-7.1% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
55% chance1.69
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.79
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
71% chance1.41fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.75fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Sudtirol, full-time Sudtirol
22% chance4.61fair
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.49fair

Sudtirol vs Sampdoria odds movement

Sudtirol win2.91-0.10
Draw2.95-0.18
Sampdoria win2.55-0.24
Over 2.5 goals2.09-0.11
Under 2.5 goals1.69-0.05

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Sudtirol vs Sampdoria prediction

Sudtirol vs Sampdoria prediction and best bet

Nothing separates the sides in the Sudtirol vs Sampdoria prediction for Saturday, 24 October 2026: 35% home, 32% draw and 33% away in the Serie B. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.

Sudtirol are expected to score 1.26 and Sampdoria 1.22, so the total line is 2.48 goals; over 2.5 lands at 45% and BTTS at 52%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Sudtirol or Sampdoria (no draw) is the main selection, rated 68%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.36. That price implies 74%, 5 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

A 32% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.

Sudtirol average 0.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last 5, Sampdoria 1.0 and 1.8 across 5.

Sudtirol vs Sampdoria goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Under 2.5 goals is rated 55% and under 3.5 76%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 71% and over 2.5 at 45%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 55%; 1xBet pay 1.69.

Both teams to score is 52%: Sudtirol find the net in 72% of simulated matches and Sampdoria in 71%. Sudtirol keep a clean sheet 30% of the time and Sampdoria 28%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Sudtirol vs Sampdoria: 1-1 (12.9%), 1-0 (10.6%) and 0-1 (10.2%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Sudtirol, full-time Sudtirol leads at 22%. A goal before the break is rated 67%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Sudtirol vs Sampdoria

The grid built from 1.26 and 1.22 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Sudtirol to win35%2.91
Draw32%2.95
Sampdoria to win33%2.55
Sudtirol, draw no bet52%fair 1.93
Sampdoria, draw no bet48%fair 2.07

Double chance

Sudtirol or draw67%1.46
Sampdoria or draw65%1.37
Sudtirol or Sampdoria (no draw)68%1.36

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals71%fair 1.41
Over 2.5 goals45%2.09
Over 3.5 goals24%fair 4.20
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.43
Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.44
Under 2.5 goals55%1.69
Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.31

BTTS

Both teams to score52%1.79
Not both teams to score48%1.92

Halves

First-half goal67%fair 1.49
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.26
Second-half goal74%fair 1.34

Team goals

Sudtirol to score72%fair 1.40
Sampdoria to score71%fair 1.42
Sudtirol clean sheet30%fair 3.39
Sampdoria clean sheet28%fair 3.52
Sudtirol to win to nil27%fair 3.68
Sampdoria to win to nil26%fair 3.83

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-112.9%
1-010.6%
0-110.2%
0-08.4%
2-18.1%
1-27.9%

Half-time / full-time

Sudtirol / Sudtirol21.7%
Sampdoria / Sampdoria20.5%
Draw / Draw17%
Draw / Sudtirol13.7%
Draw / Sampdoria13.1%

Questions about Sudtirol vs Sampdoria

Who will win Sudtirol vs Sampdoria?

The model gives Sudtirol the best chance at 35%, with the draw at 32%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What scoreline is most likely in Sudtirol vs Sampdoria?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 45%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Sudtirol vs Sampdoria?

The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Sudtirol find the net in 72% of simulated matches and Sampdoria in 71%.

What time does Sudtirol vs Sampdoria kick off?

Kick-off is 13:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Sudtirol v SampdoriaSudtirol or Sampdoria (no draw), 68%
1.36Bet