Skip to the predictions
Live 16 UTC
Serie B Round 8 Saturday, 24 October 2026 FT
CatanzaroHomeLDLDD
1:6Half-time 1:4
AscoliAwayDDWWD
382933
Catanzaro winDrawAscoli win
Kick-off
Sat 24 Oct
Expected goals
2.82
1.45 : 1.37
Favourite
38%
Catanzaro
Over 2.5 goals
53%
model chance
Both teams to score
59%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Best odds for Catanzaro vs Ascoli

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.503.242.731.702.081.542.32Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

Ad

Catanzaro to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Catanzaro vs Ascoli prediction: Catanzaro 2.50 (1xBet), draw 3.24 (1xBet), Ascoli 2.73 (1xBet).

The best-price payout across the three results is 93%, several points better than any single book offers here.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.70 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.08 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.54 (1xBet) and no 2.32 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

72%

Our prediction

Catanzaro or Ascoli (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.45 : 1.37-7% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
53% chance1.70
BTTSBoth teams to score
59% chance1.54
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
77% chance1.30fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.47fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Catanzaro, full-time Catanzaro
23% chance4.29fair
First halfFirst-half goal
72% chance1.39fair

Catanzaro vs Ascoli odds movement

Catanzaro win2.50-0.01
Draw3.24-0.16
Ascoli win2.73-0.26
Over 2.5 goals1.70-0.11
Under 2.5 goals2.08-0.01

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Catanzaro vs Ascoli prediction

Catanzaro vs Ascoli prediction, who wins and at what price

The Catanzaro vs Ascoli prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Serie B on Saturday, 24 October 2026 gives Catanzaro a 38% chance, Ascoli 34% and the draw 29%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.

The goal expectancy is 2.82 in total, split 1.45 to Catanzaro and 1.37 to Ascoli. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 53% and both teams to score 59%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Catanzaro vs Ascoli is catanzaro or Ascoli (no draw), a 72% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.30. That price implies 77%, 5 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Form check: Catanzaro have won 0 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 13 conceded, Ascoli 2 of 5 scoring 9 and conceding 2.

Catanzaro vs Ascoli goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Under 2.5 goals is rated 47% and under 3.5 69%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 77% and over 2.5 at 53%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; 1xBet pay 1.70.

The chance of both teams scoring is 59%, built from Catanzaro scoring in 77% of runs and Ascoli in 75%; clean sheets come at 25% for Catanzaro and 24% for Ascoli.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Catanzaro vs Ascoli: 1-1 (11.8%), 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-1 (8.6%).

With the top scoreline at 11.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Catanzaro vs Ascoli; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Catanzaro, full-time Catanzaro leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 72%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market rated for Catanzaro vs Ascoli

The grid built from 1.45 and 1.37 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Catanzaro to win38%2.50
Draw29%3.24
Ascoli to win34%2.73
Catanzaro, draw no bet52%fair 1.91
Ascoli, draw no bet48%fair 2.10

Double chance

Catanzaro or draw66%1.41
Ascoli or draw63%1.48
Catanzaro or Ascoli (no draw)72%1.30

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals77%fair 1.30
Over 2.5 goals53%1.70
Over 3.5 goals31%fair 3.19
Over 4.5 goals16%fair 6.45
Under 1.5 goals23%fair 4.39
Under 2.5 goals47%2.08
Under 3.5 goals69%fair 1.46

BTTS

Both teams to score59%1.54
Not both teams to score41%2.32

Halves

First-half goal72%fair 1.39
Over 1.5 first-half goals36%fair 2.76
Second-half goal79%fair 1.27

Team goals

Catanzaro to score77%fair 1.31
Ascoli to score75%fair 1.34
Catanzaro clean sheet25%fair 3.94
Ascoli clean sheet24%fair 4.26
Catanzaro to win to nil23%fair 4.27
Ascoli to win to nil22%fair 4.63

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-111.8%
1-08.6%
2-18.6%
0-18.2%
1-28.1%
2-06.3%

Half-time / full-time

Catanzaro / Catanzaro23.3%
Ascoli / Ascoli20.9%
Draw / Draw14.6%
Draw / Catanzaro13.5%
Draw / Ascoli12.5%

Questions about Catanzaro vs Ascoli

Who is favourite in Catanzaro vs Ascoli?

The model gives Catanzaro the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 29%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What scoreline is most likely in Catanzaro vs Ascoli?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 53%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Catanzaro vs Ascoli both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 59%. Catanzaro find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Ascoli in 75%.

When is Catanzaro vs Ascoli and where is the result shown?

Catanzaro vs Ascoli starts at 15:15 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Catanzaro v AscoliCatanzaro or Ascoli (no draw), 72%
1.30Bet