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Serie B Round 9 Tuesday, 27 October 2026 FT
AscoliHomeDDWWD
2:0Half-time 0:0
SampdoriaAwayLLDLW
472825
Ascoli winDrawSampdoria win
Kick-off
Tue 27 Oct
Expected goals
2.72
1.59 : 1.13
Favourite
47%
Ascoli
Over 2.5 goals
51%
model chance
Both teams to score
55%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Best odds for Ascoli vs Sampdoria

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.133.243.421.811.931.642.13Bet
22Bet2.143.293.571.981.831.742.10Bet
BC.Game2.103.203.551.841.891.652.10Bet
Betwinner2.143.293.571.981.831.742.10Bet
Melbet2.213.283.381.981.831.742.10Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Ascoli to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Ascoli vs Sampdoria prediction: Ascoli 2.21 (Melbet), draw 3.29 (22Bet), Sampdoria 3.57 (22Bet).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 96.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.98 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.93 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.74 (Melbet) and no 2.13 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

75%

Our prediction

Ascoli or draw
LeanExpected goals 1.59 : 1.13-1.4% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
51% chance1.98
BTTSBoth teams to score
55% chance1.74
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.32fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.47fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Ascoli, full-time Ascoli
29% chance3.41fair
First halfFirst-half goal
71% chance1.42fair

Ascoli vs Sampdoria odds movement

Ascoli win2.21unchanged
Draw3.29-0.11
Sampdoria win3.57-0.09
Over 2.5 goals1.98unchanged
Under 2.5 goals1.93-0.02

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Ascoli vs Sampdoria prediction

Ascoli vs Sampdoria prediction, who wins and at what price

Ascoli vs Sampdoria prediction for the Serie B on Tuesday, 27 October 2026: the model makes Ascoli marginally ahead at 47%, with the draw at 28% and Sampdoria at 25%.

Expected goals are 1.59 for Ascoli and 1.13 for Sampdoria, a total of 2.72, which puts over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for Ascoli vs Sampdoria is ascoli or draw, a 75% chance. Melbet offer the top price at 1.32. That price implies 76%, 1 points over the model figure.

Ascoli average 1.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded across their last 5, Sampdoria 1.0 and 1.8 across 5.

Ascoli vs Sampdoria goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 76%, over 2.5 at 51%, over 3.5 at 29%; under 2.5 is 49% and under 3.5 is 71%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 51%; Melbet pay 1.98.

Both teams to score is 55%: Ascoli find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Sampdoria in 68%. Ascoli keep a clean sheet 32% of the time and Sampdoria 20%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Ascoli vs Sampdoria: 1-1 (11.8%), 1-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.4%).

With the top scoreline at 11.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Ascoli vs Sampdoria; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Ascoli, full-time Ascoli is the top combination at 29%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 71%.

Every market rated for Ascoli vs Sampdoria

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 47% / 28% / 25% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Ascoli to win47%2.21
Draw28%3.29
Sampdoria to win25%3.57
Ascoli, draw no bet65%fair 1.54
Sampdoria, draw no bet35%fair 2.85

Double chance

Ascoli or draw75%1.32
Sampdoria or draw53%1.71
Ascoli or Sampdoria (no draw)72%1.34

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.32
Over 2.5 goals51%1.98
Over 3.5 goals29%fair 3.45
Over 4.5 goals14%fair 7.14
Under 1.5 goals25%fair 4.08
Under 2.5 goals49%1.93
Under 3.5 goals71%fair 1.41

BTTS

Both teams to score55%1.74
Not both teams to score45%2.13

Halves

First-half goal71%fair 1.42
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.89
Second-half goal78%fair 1.29

Team goals

Ascoli to score80%fair 1.26
Sampdoria to score68%fair 1.48
Ascoli clean sheet32%fair 3.10
Sampdoria clean sheet20%fair 4.90
Ascoli to win to nil30%fair 3.37
Sampdoria to win to nil19%fair 5.32

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-111.8%
1-010.5%
2-19.4%
2-08.3%
0-17.4%
1-26.7%

Half-time / full-time

Ascoli / Ascoli29.3%
Draw / Ascoli16.1%
Sampdoria / Sampdoria15.3%
Draw / Draw14.9%
Draw / Sampdoria10%

Questions about Ascoli vs Sampdoria

Who is favourite in Ascoli vs Sampdoria?

The model gives Ascoli the best chance at 47%, with the draw at 28%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What scoreline is most likely in Ascoli vs Sampdoria?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 51% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Ascoli vs Sampdoria?

The BTTS yes line is rated 55%. Ascoli find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Sampdoria in 68%.

When do Ascoli play Sampdoria?

Ascoli vs Sampdoria starts at 19:00 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Ascoli v SampdoriaAscoli or draw, 75%
1.32Bet