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Live 22 UTC
Serie B Round 9 Tuesday, 27 October 2026 FT
MantovaHomeWLWLD
0:2Half-time 0:1
CremoneseAwayDLLWW
432928
Mantova winDrawCremonese win
Kick-off
Tue 27 Oct
Expected goals
2.59
1.45 : 1.14
Favourite
43%
Mantova
Over 2.5 goals
47%
model chance
Both teams to score
54%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Mantova vs Cremonese odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.143.343.301.871.871.692.05Bet
22Bet2.213.293.392.031.801.792.05Bet
BC.Game2.183.153.301.941.791.702.02Bet
Betwinner2.213.283.382.021.791.782.04Bet
Melbet2.213.283.382.021.791.782.04Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Mantova to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Mantova vs Cremonese prediction: Mantova 2.21 (Melbet), draw 3.34 (1xBet), Cremonese 3.39 (22Bet).

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 95.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.03 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.87 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.79 (22Bet) and no 2.05 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

72%

Our prediction

Mantova or draw
LeanExpected goals 1.45 : 1.14-5.4% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
53% chance1.87
BTTSBoth teams to score
54% chance1.79
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
73% chance1.37fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.06fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Mantova, full-time Mantova
26% chance3.79fair
First halfFirst-half goal
69% chance1.45fair

Mantova vs Cremonese odds movement

Mantova win2.21-0.10
Draw3.34-0.01
Cremonese win3.39unchanged
Over 2.5 goals2.03-0.02
Under 2.5 goals1.87unchanged

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Mantova vs Cremonese prediction

Our Mantova vs Cremonese prediction and pick

Mantova are marginally ahead in the Mantova vs Cremonese prediction, rated 43% to win this Serie B match on Tuesday, 27 October 2026. Cremonese sit at 28% and the draw at 29%.

The goal expectancy is 2.59 in total, split 1.45 to Mantova and 1.14 to Cremonese. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 47% and both teams to score 54%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Mantova or draw is the main selection, rated 72%. At 1.32 with 22Bet the market prices it at 76%, against 72% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Over the last 5 matches Mantova stand at 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Cremonese show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

Mantova vs Cremonese goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Under 2.5 goals is rated 53% and under 3.5 74%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 73% and over 2.5 at 47%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; 1xBet pay 1.87.

BTTS yes stands at 54%. Mantova score in 77% of simulations against a 24% clean sheet for Cremonese; Cremonese score in 68% while Mantova shut them out 32% of the time.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Mantova vs Cremonese: 1-1 (12.4%), 1-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Mantova, full-time Mantova leads at 26%. A goal before the break is rated 69%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Mantova vs Cremonese

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 43% / 29% / 28% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Mantova to win43%2.21
Draw29%3.34
Cremonese to win28%3.39
Mantova, draw no bet60%fair 1.66
Cremonese, draw no bet40%fair 2.53

Double chance

Mantova or draw72%1.32
Cremonese or draw57%1.67
Mantova or Cremonese (no draw)71%1.34

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals73%fair 1.37
Over 2.5 goals47%2.03
Over 3.5 goals26%fair 3.82
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.26
Under 1.5 goals27%fair 3.72
Under 2.5 goals53%1.87
Under 3.5 goals74%fair 1.36

BTTS

Both teams to score54%1.79
Not both teams to score46%2.05

Halves

First-half goal69%fair 1.45
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.08
Second-half goal76%fair 1.32

Team goals

Mantova to score77%fair 1.31
Cremonese to score68%fair 1.47
Mantova clean sheet32%fair 3.13
Cremonese clean sheet24%fair 4.26
Mantova to win to nil29%fair 3.40
Cremonese to win to nil22%fair 4.63

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-112.4%
1-010.9%
2-19%
0-18.6%
2-07.9%
0-07.5%

Half-time / full-time

Mantova / Mantova26.4%
Cremonese / Cremonese16.9%
Draw / Draw16%
Draw / Mantova15.4%
Draw / Cremonese11.1%

Questions about Mantova vs Cremonese

Mantova or Cremonese: which side does the model back?

The model gives Mantova the best chance at 43%, with the draw at 29%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

Mantova vs Cremonese correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 47%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Mantova vs Cremonese?

The BTTS yes line is rated 54%. Mantova find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Cremonese in 68%.

What time does Mantova vs Cremonese kick off?

Mantova vs Cremonese starts at 19:00 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Mantova v CremoneseMantova or draw, 72%
1.32Bet