Palermo vs Vicenza Virtus prediction

Palermo vs Vicenza Virtus prediction and best bet

Palermo host Vicenza Virtus on Sunday, 1 November 2026 in the Serie B, and the model has Palermo at 64%, the draw at 22% and Vicenza Virtus at 15%: that is the Palermo vs Vicenza Virtus prediction in one line.

Expected goals are 2.22 for Palermo and 1.01 for Vicenza Virtus, a total of 3.23, which puts over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 58%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Palermo vs Vicenza Virtus is palermo to win, a 64% chance. At 1.51 with Melbet the market prices it at 66%, against 64% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

For a safer line, palermo or draw covers 86% of outcomes at 1.11.

With the draw down at 22%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Palermo average 2.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last 5, Vicenza Virtus 1.2 and 2.0 across 5.

Goals forecast for Palermo vs Vicenza Virtus with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Under 2.5 goals is rated 38% and under 3.5 60%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 83% and over 2.5 at 62%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 62%, best priced 1.65 at Betwinner.

The chance of both teams scoring is 58%, built from Palermo scoring in 89% of runs and Vicenza Virtus in 64%; clean sheets come at 36% for Palermo and 11% for Vicenza Virtus.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 58%.

Correct score: 2-1 leads at 9.8%, then 2-0 at 9.7% and 1-1 at 8.9%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.8% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Palermo, full-time Palermo leads at 43%. A goal before the break is rated 77%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.