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Live 16 UTC
Serie A Round 8 Saturday, 24 October 2026 FT
CagliariHomeDLLLL
0:2Half-time 0:0
BolognaAwayWLWWW
323236
Cagliari winDrawBologna win
Kick-off
Sat 24 Oct
Expected goals
2.33
1.13 : 1.20
Favourite
36%
Bologna
Over 2.5 goals
41%
model chance
Both teams to score
49%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Cagliari vs Bologna odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet3.053.052.782.351.701.871.85Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Bologna to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Cagliari vs Bologna are 3.05 for Cagliari at 1xBet, 3.05 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.78 for Bologna at 1xBet.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 98.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.35 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.70 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.87 (1xBet) and no 1.85 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

68%

Our prediction

Cagliari or Bologna (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.13 : 1.20-0.8% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
59% chance1.70
BTTSNot both teams to score
51% chance1.85
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
68% chance1.48fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.58fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Bologna, full-time Bologna
22% chance4.61fair
First halfFirst-half goal
65% chance1.54fair

Cagliari vs Bologna odds movement

Cagliari win3.05-0.20
Draw3.05unchanged
Bologna win2.78unchanged
Over 2.5 goals2.35-0.03
Under 2.5 goals1.70unchanged

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Cagliari vs Bologna prediction

Cagliari vs Bologna prediction, who wins and at what price

Nothing separates the sides in the Cagliari vs Bologna prediction for Saturday, 24 October 2026: 32% home, 32% draw and 36% away in the Serie A. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.

Cagliari are expected to score 1.13 and Bologna 1.20, so the total line is 2.33 goals; over 2.5 lands at 41% and BTTS at 49%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Cagliari or Bologna (no draw) is the main selection, rated 68%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.45. That price implies 69%, 1 points over the model figure.

The draw is live at 32%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.

Over the last 5 matches Cagliari stand at 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Bologna show 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats in 5.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Cagliari vs Bologna

Under 2.5 goals is rated 59% and under 3.5 79%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 68% and over 2.5 at 41%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 59%, best priced 1.70 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 49%, built from Cagliari scoring in 68% of runs and Bologna in 70%; clean sheets come at 30% for Cagliari and 32% for Bologna.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 13.2%, then 0-1 at 11.7% and 1-0 at 11%.

With the top scoreline at 13.2%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Cagliari vs Bologna; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Bologna, full-time Bologna is the top combination at 22%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 65%.

Every market rated for Cagliari vs Bologna

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 32% / 32% / 36% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Cagliari to win32%3.05
Draw32%3.05
Bologna to win36%2.78
Cagliari, draw no bet47%fair 2.11
Bologna, draw no bet53%fair 1.90

Double chance

Cagliari or draw64%1.53
Bologna or draw68%1.45
Cagliari or Bologna (no draw)68%1.45

Goals

Over 0.5 goals90%fair 1.11
Over 1.5 goals68%fair 1.48
Over 2.5 goals41%2.35
Over 3.5 goals21%fair 4.83
Over 4.5 goals9%fair 11.49
Under 1.5 goals32%fair 3.09
Under 2.5 goals59%1.70
Under 3.5 goals79%fair 1.26

BTTS

Both teams to score49%1.87
Not both teams to score51%1.85

Halves

First-half goal65%fair 1.54
Over 1.5 first-half goals28%fair 3.55
Second-half goal72%fair 1.39

Team goals

Cagliari to score68%fair 1.48
Bologna to score70%fair 1.43
Cagliari clean sheet30%fair 3.32
Bologna clean sheet32%fair 3.10
Cagliari to win to nil28%fair 3.61
Bologna to win to nil30%fair 3.37

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-113.2%
0-111.7%
1-011%
0-09.7%
1-27.9%
2-17.5%

Half-time / full-time

Bologna / Bologna21.7%
Cagliari / Cagliari19.5%
Draw / Draw18.3%
Draw / Bologna14.1%
Draw / Cagliari13%

Questions about Cagliari vs Bologna

Cagliari or Bologna: which side does the model back?

The model gives Bologna the best chance at 36%, with the draw at 32%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

Cagliari vs Bologna correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 41% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Cagliari vs Bologna?

The BTTS yes line is rated 49%. Cagliari find the net in 68% of simulated matches and Bologna in 70%.

What time does Cagliari vs Bologna kick off?

Cagliari vs Bologna starts at 13:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Cagliari v BolognaCagliari or Bologna (no draw), 68%
1.45Bet