Serie A
Round 8 Saturday, 24 October 2026
FT
NapoliHomeLWDWL
3:3Half-time 1:0
AS RomaAwayWWDWW342937
Napoli winDrawAS Roma win
Serie A
Round 8 Saturday, 24 October 2026
FT
NapoliHomeLWDWLAS RomaAwayWWDWW- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.77 1.35 : 1.42
- Favourite
- 37% AS Roma
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 58% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Napoli vs AS Roma betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.72 | 3.43 | 2.80 | 1.93 | 2.01 | 1.63 | 2.17 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
AS Roma to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Napoli vs AS Roma prediction: Napoli 2.72 (1xBet), draw 3.43 (1xBet), AS Roma 2.80 (1xBet).
The best-price payout across the three results is 98.4%, several points better than any single book offers here.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.93 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.01 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.63 (1xBet) and no 2.17 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
72%
Our prediction
Napoli or AS Roma (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
52% chance1.93
BTTSBoth teams to score
58% chance1.63
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.31fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.33fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time AS Roma, full-time AS Roma
23% chance4.35fair
First halfFirst-half goal
71% chance1.40fair
Napoli vs AS Roma odds movement
Napoli win2.72-0.13
Draw3.43-0.07
AS Roma win2.80unchanged
Over 2.5 goals1.93unchanged
Under 2.5 goals2.01-0.04
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Napoli vs AS Roma prediction
Our Napoli vs AS Roma prediction and pick
Nothing separates the sides in the Napoli vs AS Roma prediction for Saturday, 24 October 2026: 34% home, 29% draw and 37% away in the Serie A. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
Napoli are expected to score 1.35 and AS Roma 1.42, so the total line is 2.77 goals; over 2.5 lands at 52% and BTTS at 58%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Napoli or AS Roma (no draw) is the main selection, rated 72%. At 1.38 with 1xBet the market prices it at 72%, against 72% from the model.
Napoli average 2.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded across their last 5, AS Roma 3.6 and 1.4 across 5.
How many goals in Napoli vs AS Roma? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Under 2.5 goals is rated 48% and under 3.5 70%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 76% and over 2.5 at 52%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 52%; 1xBet pay 1.93.
The chance of both teams scoring is 58%, built from Napoli scoring in 74% of runs and AS Roma in 76%; clean sheets come at 24% for Napoli and 26% for AS Roma.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12%, followed by 0-1 (8.9%) and 1-2 (8.5%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time AS Roma, full-time AS Roma is the top combination at 23%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 71%.
Every market for Napoli vs AS Roma
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Napoli vs AS Roma, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Napoli to win34%2.72
Draw29%3.43
AS Roma to win37%2.80
Napoli, draw no bet48%fair 2.08
AS Roma, draw no bet52%fair 1.92
Double chance
Napoli or draw63%1.52
AS Roma or draw66%1.54
Napoli or AS Roma (no draw)72%1.38
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.31
Over 2.5 goals52%1.93
Over 3.5 goals30%fair 3.32
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.76
Under 1.5 goals24%fair 4.24
Under 2.5 goals48%2.01
Under 3.5 goals70%fair 1.43
BTTS
Both teams to score58%1.63
Not both teams to score42%2.17
Halves
First-half goal71%fair 1.40
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.82
Second-half goal78%fair 1.28
Team goals
Napoli to score74%fair 1.35
AS Roma to score76%fair 1.32
Napoli clean sheet24%fair 4.13
AS Roma clean sheet26%fair 3.86
Napoli to win to nil22%fair 4.50
AS Roma to win to nil24%fair 4.18
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112%
0-18.9%
1-28.5%
1-08.5%
2-18.1%
0-26.3%
Half-time / full-time
AS Roma / AS Roma23%
Napoli / Napoli20.9%
Draw / Draw14.9%
Draw / AS Roma13.5%
Draw / Napoli12.6%
Questions about Napoli vs AS Roma
Napoli or AS Roma: which side does the model back?
The model gives AS Roma the best chance at 37%, with the draw at 29%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in Napoli vs AS Roma?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 52%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Napoli vs AS Roma both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 58%. Napoli find the net in 74% of simulated matches and AS Roma in 76%.
When do Napoli play AS Roma?
Napoli vs AS Roma starts at 16:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.