Bologna vs Monza prediction

Bologna vs Monza prediction and best bet

Bologna host Monza on Saturday, 31 October 2026 in the Serie A, and the model has Bologna at 56%, the draw at 24% and Monza at 20%: that is the Bologna vs Monza prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 2.87 in total, split 1.83 to Bologna and 1.04 to Monza. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 55% and both teams to score 55%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Bologna vs Monza is bologna to win, a 56% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.74. That price implies 57%, 2 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

For a safer line, bologna or draw covers 80% of outcomes at 1.21.

Form check: Bologna have won 4 of their last 5 with 11 scored and 7 conceded, Monza 1 of 5 scoring 9 and conceding 12.

How many goals in Bologna vs Monza? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 78%, over 2.5 at 55%, over 3.5 at 32%; under 2.5 is 45% and under 3.5 is 68%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 55%, best priced 1.90 at 1xBet.

Both teams to score is 55%: Bologna find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Monza in 65%. Bologna keep a clean sheet 35% of the time and Monza 16%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.8%, followed by 1-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.9%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.8% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Bologna, full-time Bologna is the top combination at 35%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 73%.