Serie A
Round 8 Sunday, 25 October 2026
FT
AtalantaHomeWLLDD
4:4Half-time 3:2
FrosinoneAwayLWDWW492328
Atalanta winDrawFrosinone win
Serie A
Round 8 Sunday, 25 October 2026
FT
AtalantaHomeWLLDDFrosinoneAwayLWDWW- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.70 2.12 : 1.58
- Favourite
- 49% Atalanta
- Over 2.5 goals
- 71% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 71% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Atalanta vs Frosinone betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.92 | 4.28 | 3.85 | 1.33 | 3.31 | 1.32 | 3.15 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.86 | 4.34 | 3.48 | 1.29 | 3.60 | 1.33 | 3.36 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.88 | 4.10 | 3.45 | 1.33 | 3.20 | 1.34 | 3.10 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.89 | 4.40 | 3.53 | 1.29 | 3.62 | 1.33 | 3.37 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.94 | 4.40 | 3.35 | 1.29 | 3.62 | 1.34 | 3.26 | Bet |
 Stake | 1.92 | 4.30 | 3.45 | 1.30 | 3.40 | 1.33 | 3.15 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Atalanta to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Atalanta vs Frosinone are 1.94 for Atalanta at Melbet, 4.40 for the draw at Betwinner and 3.85 for Frosinone at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 99.8%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.33 (1xBet) and under 2.5 3.62 (Betwinner); both teams to score yes pays 1.34 (Melbet) and no 3.37 (Betwinner).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
77%
Our prediction
Atalanta or Frosinone (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
71% chance1.33
BTTSBoth teams to score
71% chance1.34
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
88% chance1.13fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
9% chance11.36fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Atalanta, full-time Atalanta
32% chance3.13fair
First halfFirst-half goal
81% chance1.23fair
Atalanta vs Frosinone odds movement
Atalanta win1.94unchanged
Draw4.40unchanged
Frosinone win3.85unchanged
Over 2.5 goals1.33-0.02
Under 2.5 goals3.62unchanged
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Atalanta vs Frosinone prediction
Our Atalanta vs Frosinone prediction and pick
Atalanta are a narrow favourite in the Atalanta vs Frosinone prediction, rated 49% to win this Serie A match on Sunday, 25 October 2026. Frosinone sit at 27% and the draw at 23%.
The goal expectancy is 3.70 in total, split 2.12 to Atalanta and 1.58 to Frosinone. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 71% and both teams to score 71%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is atalanta or Frosinone (no draw) at 77%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.28. That price implies 78%, 2 points over the model figure.
Over the last 5 matches Atalanta stand at 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Frosinone show 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
Atalanta vs Frosinone over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Under 2.5 goals is rated 29% and under 3.5 49%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 88% and over 2.5 at 71%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 71%; 1xBet pay 1.33.
The chance of both teams scoring is 71%, built from Atalanta scoring in 88% of runs and Frosinone in 79%; clean sheets come at 21% for Atalanta and 12% for Frosinone.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 71%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Atalanta vs Frosinone: 2-1 (8.8%), 1-1 (8.3%) and 2-2 (6.9%).
With the top scoreline at 8.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Atalanta vs Frosinone; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Atalanta, full-time Atalanta leads at 32%. A goal before the break is rated 81%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Atalanta vs Frosinone
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 49% / 23% / 27% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Atalanta to win49%1.94
Draw23%4.40
Frosinone to win27%3.85
Atalanta, draw no bet64%fair 1.56
Frosinone, draw no bet36%fair 2.79
Double chance
Atalanta or draw73%1.35
Frosinone or draw51%2.03
Atalanta or Frosinone (no draw)77%1.28
Goals
Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals88%fair 1.13
Over 2.5 goals71%1.33
Over 3.5 goals51%fair 1.98
Over 4.5 goals31%fair 3.19
Under 1.5 goals12%fair 8.62
Under 2.5 goals29%3.62
Under 3.5 goals49%fair 2.02
BTTS
Both teams to score71%1.34
Not both teams to score29%3.37
Halves
First-half goal81%fair 1.23
Over 1.5 first-half goals50%fair 2.02
Second-half goal87%fair 1.15
Team goals
Atalanta to score88%fair 1.14
Frosinone to score79%fair 1.26
Atalanta clean sheet21%fair 4.85
Frosinone clean sheet12%fair 8.33
Atalanta to win to nil19%fair 5.29
Frosinone to win to nil11%fair 9.09
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-18.8%
1-18.3%
2-26.9%
1-26.5%
3-16.2%
2-05.6%
Half-time / full-time
Atalanta / Atalanta31.9%
Frosinone / Frosinone17%
Draw / Atalanta14.5%
Draw / Draw10.3%
Draw / Frosinone9.3%
Questions about Atalanta vs Frosinone
Who will win Atalanta vs Frosinone?
The model gives Atalanta the best chance at 49%, with the draw at 23%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Atalanta vs Frosinone correct score: what does the model say?
2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 8.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 71%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Atalanta vs Frosinone?
The BTTS yes line is rated 71%. Atalanta find the net in 88% of simulated matches and Frosinone in 79%.
When do Atalanta play Frosinone?
Atalanta vs Frosinone starts at 14:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.