AS Roma vs Cagliari prediction

AS Roma vs Cagliari prediction and best bet

AS Roma are the clear favourite in the AS Roma vs Cagliari prediction, rated 74% to win this Serie A match on Tuesday, 27 October 2026. Cagliari sit at 9% and the draw at 18%.

AS Roma are expected to score 2.18 and Cagliari 0.63, so the total line is 2.81 goals; over 2.5 lands at 52% and BTTS at 43%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is aS Roma to win at 74%. At 1.45 with Betwinner the market prices it at 69%, against 74% from the model.

A 6.9% edge on a flat stake is the margin here, so the selection qualifies as value and not only as the likely result.

AS Roma or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 91% chance, priced 1.10.

The draw sits at only 18%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Form check: AS Roma have won 4 of their last 5 with 18 scored and 7 conceded, Cagliari 0 of 5 scoring 4 and conceding 13.

AS Roma vs Cagliari goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

On the goal lines AS Roma vs Cagliari reads 77% for over 1.5, 52% for over 2.5 and 31% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 48%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 52%; Betwinner pay 1.84.

The chance of both teams scoring is 43%, built from AS Roma scoring in 89% of runs and Cagliari in 47%; clean sheets come at 53% for AS Roma and 11% for Cagliari.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for AS Roma vs Cagliari: 2-0 (14.3%), 1-0 (13.1%) and 3-0 (10.4%).

With the top scoreline at 14.3%, correct score stays a long-odds market for AS Roma vs Cagliari; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time AS Roma, full-time AS Roma leads at 49%. A goal before the break is rated 72%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.