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Live 6 UTC
Serie A Round 8 Friday, 23 October 2026 FT
TorinoHomeWWWLL
3:2Half-time 1:0
MonzaAwayLWLLL
462826
Torino winDrawMonza win
Kick-off
Fri 23 Oct
Expected goals
2.81
1.61 : 1.20
Favourite
46%
Torino
Over 2.5 goals
53%
model chance
Both teams to score
58%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Torino vs Monza odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.133.623.701.882.071.642.15Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Torino to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Torino vs Monza are 2.13 for Torino at 1xBet, 3.62 for the draw at 1xBet and 3.70 for Monza at 1xBet.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 98.4%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.88 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.07 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.64 (1xBet) and no 2.15 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

73%

Our prediction

Torino or draw
LeanExpected goals 1.61 : 1.20-1.9% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
53% chance1.88
BTTSBoth teams to score
58% chance1.64
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
77% chance1.30fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.62fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Torino, full-time Torino
29% chance3.50fair
First halfFirst-half goal
72% chance1.39fair

Torino vs Monza odds movement

Torino win2.13-0.02
Draw3.62unchanged
Monza win3.70unchanged
Over 2.5 goals1.88-0.03
Under 2.5 goals2.07unchanged

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Torino vs Monza prediction

Torino vs Monza prediction and best bet

Torino are marginally ahead in the Torino vs Monza prediction, rated 46% to win this Serie A match on Friday, 23 October 2026. Monza sit at 27% and the draw at 28%.

Expected goals are 1.61 for Torino and 1.20 for Monza, a total of 2.81, which puts over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 58%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for Torino vs Monza is torino or draw, a 73% chance. At 1.34 with 1xBet the market prices it at 75%, against 73% from the model.

Form check: Torino have won 3 of their last 5 with 9 scored and 8 conceded, Monza 1 of 5 scoring 9 and conceding 12.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Torino vs Monza

Under 2.5 goals is rated 47% and under 3.5 69%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 77% and over 2.5 at 53%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 53%, best priced 1.88 at 1xBet.

Both teams to score is 58%: Torino find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Monza in 70%. Torino keep a clean sheet 30% of the time and Monza 20%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 58%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Torino vs Monza: 1-1 (11.6%), 1-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.4%).

With the top scoreline at 11.6%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Torino vs Monza; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Torino, full-time Torino leads at 29%. A goal before the break is rated 72%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Torino vs Monza

The grid built from 1.61 and 1.20 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Torino to win46%2.13
Draw28%3.62
Monza to win27%3.70
Torino, draw no bet63%fair 1.59
Monza, draw no bet37%fair 2.70

Double chance

Torino or draw73%1.34
Monza or draw54%1.83
Torino or Monza (no draw)73%1.35

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals77%fair 1.30
Over 2.5 goals53%1.88
Over 3.5 goals31%fair 3.23
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.49
Under 1.5 goals23%fair 4.37
Under 2.5 goals47%2.07
Under 3.5 goals69%fair 1.45

BTTS

Both teams to score58%1.64
Not both teams to score42%2.15

Halves

First-half goal72%fair 1.39
Over 1.5 first-half goals36%fair 2.77
Second-half goal79%fair 1.27

Team goals

Torino to score80%fair 1.25
Monza to score70%fair 1.43
Torino clean sheet30%fair 3.32
Monza clean sheet20%fair 5.00
Torino to win to nil28%fair 3.61
Monza to win to nil18%fair 5.43

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-111.6%
1-09.7%
2-19.4%
2-07.8%
0-17.2%
1-27%

Half-time / full-time

Torino / Torino28.6%
Monza / Monza16.3%
Draw / Torino15.6%
Draw / Draw14.4%
Draw / Monza10.4%

Questions about Torino vs Monza

Who is favourite in Torino vs Monza?

The model gives Torino the best chance at 46%, with the draw at 28%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

Torino vs Monza correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 53%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Torino vs Monza?

The BTTS yes line is rated 58%. Torino find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Monza in 70%.

When is Torino vs Monza and where is the result shown?

Torino vs Monza starts at 18:45 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Torino v MonzaTorino or draw, 73%
1.34Bet