Serie A
Round 8 Sunday, 25 October 2026
FT
InterHomeWWWWL
2:1Half-time 0:0
FiorentinaAwayDLLLD731611
Inter winDrawFiorentina win
Serie A
Round 8 Sunday, 25 October 2026
FT
InterHomeWWWWLFiorentinaAwayDLLLD- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.72 2.71 : 1.01
- Favourite
- 73% Inter
- Over 2.5 goals
- 71% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 61% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Best odds for Inter vs Fiorentina
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.37 | 5.87 | 8.50 | 1.42 | 2.87 | 1.64 | 2.15 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.38 | 5.30 | 7.00 | 1.35 | 3.19 | 1.57 | 2.41 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.36 | 5.40 | 7.00 | 1.41 | 2.80 | 1.60 | 2.24 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.40 | 5.39 | 7.10 | 1.39 | 3.00 | 1.57 | 2.41 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.40 | 5.39 | 7.10 | 1.35 | 3.19 | 1.57 | 2.41 | Bet |
 Stake | 1.40 | 5.60 | 6.80 | 1.38 | 3.00 | 1.58 | 2.30 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Inter to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Inter vs Fiorentina are 1.40 for Inter at Betwinner, 5.87 for the draw at 1xBet and 8.50 for Fiorentina at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 99.8%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.42 (1xBet) and under 2.5 3.19 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.64 (1xBet) and no 2.41 (Melbet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
73%
Our prediction
Inter to win
Double chanceInter or draw
89% chance1.12
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
71% chance1.42
BTTSBoth teams to score
61% chance1.64
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
89% chance1.13fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
9% chance11.11fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Inter, full-time Inter
51% chance1.97fair
Inter vs Fiorentina odds movement
Inter win1.40unchanged
Draw5.87unchanged
Fiorentina win8.50-0.07
Over 2.5 goals1.42unchanged
Under 2.5 goals3.19unchanged
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Inter vs Fiorentina prediction
Inter vs Fiorentina prediction and best bet
Inter host Fiorentina on Sunday, 25 October 2026 in the Serie A, and the model has Inter at 73%, the draw at 16% and Fiorentina at 11%: that is the Inter vs Fiorentina prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 2.71 for Inter and 1.01 for Fiorentina, a total of 3.72, which puts over 2.5 goals at 71% and both teams to score at 61%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Inter vs Fiorentina is inter to win, a 73% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.40 at Betwinner, which implies 71%, so the model sits 1 points above the market.
Inter or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 89% chance, priced 1.12.
With the draw down at 16%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Form check: Inter have won 4 of their last 5 with 9 scored and 5 conceded, Fiorentina 0 of 5 scoring 6 and conceding 10.
Inter vs Fiorentina over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 89%, over 2.5 at 71%, over 3.5 at 51%; under 2.5 is 30% and under 3.5 is 49%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 71%, best priced 1.42 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 61%, built from Inter scoring in 93% of runs and Fiorentina in 64%; clean sheets come at 36% for Inter and 7% for Fiorentina.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.
The most likely scoreline is 2-1 at 9%, followed by 2-0 (8.9%) and 3-1 (8.1%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Inter, full-time Inter leads at 51%. A goal before the break is rated 81%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Inter vs Fiorentina
The grid built from 2.71 and 1.01 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Inter to win73%1.40
Draw16%5.87
Fiorentina to win11%8.50
Inter, draw no bet87%fair 1.15
Fiorentina, draw no bet13%fair 7.52
Double chance
Inter or draw89%1.12
Fiorentina or draw27%3.47
Inter or Fiorentina (no draw)84%1.18
Goals
Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals89%fair 1.13
Over 2.5 goals71%1.42
Over 3.5 goals51%fair 1.96
Over 4.5 goals32%fair 3.16
Under 1.5 goals12%fair 8.70
Under 2.5 goals30%3.19
Under 3.5 goals49%fair 2.04
BTTS
Both teams to score61%1.64
Not both teams to score39%2.41
Halves
First-half goal81%fair 1.23
Over 1.5 first-half goals50%fair 2.00
Second-half goal87%fair 1.15
Team goals
Inter to score93%fair 1.07
Fiorentina to score64%fair 1.57
Inter clean sheet36%fair 2.75
Fiorentina clean sheet7%fair 14.93
Inter to win to nil34%fair 2.99
Fiorentina to win to nil6%fair 16.39
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-19%
2-08.9%
3-18.1%
3-08%
1-16.6%
1-06.6%
Half-time / full-time
Inter / Inter50.8%
Draw / Inter18.4%
Draw / Draw8%
Fiorentina / Fiorentina6.3%
Draw / Fiorentina4.2%
Questions about Inter vs Fiorentina
Who is favourite in Inter vs Fiorentina?
The model gives Inter the best chance at 73%, with the draw at 16%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
Inter vs Fiorentina correct score: what does the model say?
2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 71%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Inter vs Fiorentina both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 61%. Inter find the net in 93% of simulated matches and Fiorentina in 64%.
When is Inter vs Fiorentina and where is the result shown?
Inter vs Fiorentina starts at 11:30 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.