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Live 15 UTC
Serie A Round 9 Wednesday, 28 October 2026 FT
ParmaHomeWLLLD
0:0Half-time 0:0
UdineseAwayLLLDL
353035
Parma winDrawUdinese win
Kick-off
Wed 28 Oct
Expected goals
2.53
1.26 : 1.27
Favourite
35%
Udinese
Over 2.5 goals
46%
model chance
Both teams to score
54%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Parma vs Udinese betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.873.272.772.191.791.801.92Bet
22Bet3.003.202.462.051.771.782.04Bet
BC.Game2.903.102.522.021.771.722.04Bet
Betwinner3.043.242.482.081.801.782.04Bet
Melbet3.043.242.482.081.801.782.04Bet
Stake2.953.202.501.961.791.742.01Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Udinese to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Parma vs Udinese prediction: Parma 3.04 (Betwinner), draw 3.27 (1xBet), Udinese 2.77 (1xBet).

The best-price payout across the three results is 100.4%, several points better than any single book offers here.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.19 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.80 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.80 (1xBet) and no 2.04 (BC.Game).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

70%

Our prediction

Parma or Udinese (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.26 : 1.27-1.6% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
54% chance1.80
BTTSBoth teams to score
54% chance1.80
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
72% chance1.39fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.87fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Udinese, full-time Udinese
21% chance4.67fair
First halfFirst-half goal
68% chance1.47fair

Parma vs Udinese odds movement

Parma win3.04unchanged
Draw3.27unchanged
Udinese win2.77-0.05
Over 2.5 goals2.19unchanged
Under 2.5 goals1.80unchanged

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Parma vs Udinese prediction

Parma vs Udinese prediction, who wins and at what price

Parma vs Udinese prediction for the Serie A on Wednesday, 28 October 2026: the model calls it close, Parma 35%, draw 30%, Udinese 35%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.

The goal expectancy is 2.53 in total, split 1.26 to Parma and 1.27 to Udinese. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 46% and both teams to score 54%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is parma or Udinese (no draw) at 70%. At 1.41 with 1xBet the market prices it at 71%, against 70% from the model.

The draw is live at 30%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.

Over the last 5 matches Parma stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Udinese show 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats in 5.

How many goals in Parma vs Udinese? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 72%, over 2.5 at 46%, over 3.5 at 25%; under 2.5 is 54% and under 3.5 is 75%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 54%, best priced 1.80 at Melbet.

Both teams to score is 54%: Parma find the net in 72% of simulated matches and Udinese in 72%. Parma keep a clean sheet 28% of the time and Udinese 28%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.7%, followed by 0-1 (10.1%) and 1-0 (10%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Udinese, full-time Udinese is the top combination at 21%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 68%.

Every market rated for Parma vs Udinese

The grid built from 1.26 and 1.27 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Parma to win35%3.04
Draw30%3.27
Udinese to win35%2.77
Parma, draw no bet50%fair 2.02
Udinese, draw no bet50%fair 1.98

Double chance

Parma or draw65%1.57
Udinese or draw65%1.50
Parma or Udinese (no draw)70%1.41

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals72%fair 1.39
Over 2.5 goals46%2.19
Over 3.5 goals25%fair 4.02
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 8.85
Under 1.5 goals28%fair 3.56
Under 2.5 goals54%1.80
Under 3.5 goals75%fair 1.33

BTTS

Both teams to score54%1.80
Not both teams to score46%2.04

Halves

First-half goal68%fair 1.47
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.17
Second-half goal75%fair 1.33

Team goals

Parma to score72%fair 1.40
Udinese to score72%fair 1.39
Parma clean sheet28%fair 3.56
Udinese clean sheet28%fair 3.52
Parma to win to nil26%fair 3.88
Udinese to win to nil26%fair 3.83

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-112.7%
0-110.1%
1-010%
1-28.1%
2-18%
0-08%

Half-time / full-time

Udinese / Udinese21.4%
Parma / Parma21.1%
Draw / Draw16.6%
Draw / Udinese13.4%
Draw / Parma13.2%

Questions about Parma vs Udinese

Parma or Udinese: which side does the model back?

The model gives Udinese the best chance at 35%, with the draw at 30%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

Parma vs Udinese correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 46% backs the same picture with less variance.

Parma vs Udinese both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 54%. Parma find the net in 72% of simulated matches and Udinese in 72%.

When do Parma play Udinese?

Parma vs Udinese starts at 17:30 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Parma v UdineseParma or Udinese (no draw), 70%
1.41Bet